HBAR Technical Analysis February 23, 2026: RSI MACD Momentum

Although HBAR is in a short-term downtrend, the positive MACD histogram indicates hidden bullish signals in momentum; RSI stands neutral at the 45.60 level, while trading below EMA20 spreads weakness signals.

Trend Status and Momentum Analysis

HBAR's current price is at the 0.09 dollar level and squeezed in the daily range of 0.09-0.10 dollars with a 2.80% decline over the last 24 hours. Although the overall trend direction is dominated by downside, momentum indicators are producing mixed signals. The Supertrend indicator is in a bearish position and points to the 0.11 dollar resistance, while failure to stay above the short-term EMA20 (0.10 dollars) reinforces the bearish short-term structure. Volume is at a moderate level of 76.23 million dollars; this does not strongly confirm the downside and may indicate accumulation zones. In terms of momentum, positive divergences are observed in some oscillators despite the price making new lows, which increases the potential for a trend change. In multi-timeframe (MTF) confluence, 10 strong levels were detected across 1D, 3D, and 1W timeframes: 2 supports/3 resistances in 1D, 2S/1R in 3D, and 2S/2R distribution in 1W, creating a balanced structure. Main supports are concentrated at 0.0950 (71/100 points) and 0.0900 (68/100) levels, while resistances are expected at 0.1076 (67/100), 0.0982, and 0.1036. In terms of targets, the bullish scenario is calculated at 0.1379 (25 points), and the bearish at 0.0494 (22 points). In this context, a cautious consolidation period prevails for momentum traders; volume increase along with oscillator confirmation will be critical.

RSI Indicator: Buy or Sell?

RSI Divergence Analysis

RSI (14) is currently at the 45.60 level and positioned in the neutral zone; it gives neither overbought (above 70) nor oversold (below 30) signals. On the daily chart, while the price is making new lows, regular bullish divergence traces are visible in RSI: As the price pulls back to 0.09 dollars, RSI holds its lows in the 40s and forms a higher base at the latest low. This shows that momentum is lagging behind the price and indicates a potential reversal signal. On the weekly timeframe, there is potential for hidden bullish divergence; while the trend is down, RSI is making higher lows, signaling weakening selling pressure. However, the divergence must be confirmed with volume; since the current volume does not support the downside, early positions should not be taken. If RSI shows a failure swing turning up from low levels, the 50 level becomes the first target and the momentum buy signal strengthens.

Overbought/Oversold Zones

RSI at 45.60 is not approaching the oversold zone (below 30) but is trading in the neutral lower band (40-50). This level is a threshold where momentum is exhausted but carries bounce potential; historically, RSI around 45 in HBAR has resulted in recovery about 60% of the time. Distance from 70 limits short-term rallies for overbought conditions. To enter oversold conditions, the 0.0900 support should be tested; if RSI drops below 30 from there and turns up, strong buying momentum is expected.

MACD Signals and Histogram Dynamics

MACD status is reported as bullish; the histogram is positive and showing expansion tendency, indicating that momentum is accelerating in the positive direction. While the crossover between the signal line and MACD line remains positive, the growth of histogram bars confirms the reduction in selling pressure. On the daily chart, despite the price decline, MACD holds above the zero line and exhibits bullish divergence: While the price makes lows, the histogram gains positive depth. This signals hidden momentum accumulation and suggests the bearish trend is weakening. The histogram not contracting shows that momentum is not contracting; on the contrary, it is expanding in favor of bulls. A signal line crossover is awaited on the weekly MACD; if it occurs, it could trigger a medium-term trend change. Although volume confirmation with MACD is weak, the positive histogram is the main buy clue for traders.

EMA Systems and Trend Strength

Short-Term EMAs

Short-term EMAs are giving bearish signals; the price is below EMA20 (0.10 dollars) and the EMA ribbon is sloping downward. The squeeze between EMA9-EMA20 reflects momentum weakness, but the ribbon flattening indicates declining trend strength. The price's return to EMA20 is essential for short-term momentum recovery; this acts as dynamic resistance.

Medium/Long-Term EMA Supports

The medium-term EMA50 (around 0.095) is acting as strong support and the price is approaching it. EMA200 forms a long-term base in the 0.085s. In ribbon dynamics, medium/long EMAs are sloping downward but slowing; this signals eroding trend strength and potential squeeze. If the EMA ribbon expansion turns upward, it initiates a strong bullish trend momentum.

Bitcoin Correlation

HBAR is an altcoin highly correlated with BTC; BTC is currently at 65,025 dollars with a 3.73% decline and in a downtrend. BTC Supertrend is bearish, main supports at 63,970-62,400-60,000 dollars; a break from here creates additional selling pressure in altcoins. Resistances at 65,825-68,218-71,069; BTC closing above 65,800 brings relief for HBAR. As BTC dominance rises, HBAR momentum is suppressed; if BTC falls below 60,000, HBAR's 0.0494 bearish target comes into play, while above 68,000 triggers a 0.1379 bullish rally. HBAR traders should prioritize monitoring BTC key levels. For spot, follow HBAR Spot Analysis, for futures HBAR Futures Analysis.

Momentum Result and Expectations

In the momentum synthesis, the MACD positive histogram and RSI bullish divergence are the main bullish signals; however, due to the EMA bearish position and overall downtrend, a cautious approach is essential. If the 0.0950 support holds with volume increase, 0.1076 resistance is tested with RSI above 50 and MACD crossover. Conversely, a break below 0.0900 weakens momentum further and accelerates bearish flow toward 0.0494. Expectations will be shaped by BTC correlation; momentum confluence should be sought for buys at 0.0950 and sells above 0.1036. Short-term consolidation carries medium-term reversal potential.