Bitcoin May Hit $200,000 by Year-End After $19B Crash, Analyst Suggests

  • Record Liquidation Event: The crypto market saw a $19 billion wipeout on October 10, 2025, pushing Bitcoin to a four-month low of $104,000.

  • Investor Confidence: Experts view the sell-off as a temporary setback, with potential for rebound as markets stabilize in the coming weeks.

  • Key Drivers: Continued ETF inflows and Federal Reserve rate cuts are expected to propel Bitcoin past $150,000 even in conservative scenarios, per industry analysis.

Bitcoin 2025 price prediction hits $200K despite $19B crash: Standard Chartered expert sees buying opportunity. Explore ETF inflows and market recovery insights now.

What is the Bitcoin 2025 Price Prediction Amid Market Volatility?

Bitcoin 2025 price prediction points to a strong recovery, with Standard Chartered’s global head of digital assets research, Geoff Kendrick, forecasting $200,000 by year-end. Despite the recent $19 billion liquidation event that drove Bitcoin to $104,000, Kendrick emphasizes this as a prime accumulation phase. He anticipates stabilization and renewed upward momentum fueled by institutional interest and macroeconomic tailwinds.

The cryptocurrency market has shown resilience throughout 2025, navigating geopolitical tensions and policy shifts. Bitcoin, trading around $108,260 as of late October, has experienced a 6% monthly decline but maintains a trajectory toward higher valuations. Kendrick’s outlook aligns with broader analyst sentiments, highlighting the asset’s maturation as a digital store of value.

BTC/USD 1-month chart
BTC/USD, 1-month chart. Source: Cointelegraph

This perspective comes from an exclusive interview at the 2025 European Blockchain Convention in Barcelona, where Kendrick discussed the implications of U.S. tariff threats under President Donald Trump. He noted that even in a bearish scenario, Bitcoin could surpass $150,000, assuming the U.S. Federal Reserve proceeds with anticipated interest rate cuts.

How Will ETF Inflows and Gold Prices Influence Bitcoin’s Rally?

Exchange-traded funds (ETFs) are poised to drive Bitcoin’s price momentum through the remainder of 2025, according to Kendrick. Following the liquidation event, ETF inflows rebounded sharply, recording $477 million in net positives on a single day in October, data from Farside Investors indicates. This surge broke a brief streak of outflows linked to political uncertainties.

Bitcoin’s correlation with gold has strengthened, with the precious metal hitting all-time highs amid economic instability. Kendrick explained that the safe-haven narrative for Bitcoin is reemerging, potentially amplifying ETF demand. “There’s no reason for them to stop,” he stated, linking the trend to Federal Reserve actions and even referencing the U.S. government shutdown’s indirect boosts to alternative assets like gold.

Historical data supports this view: Since their launch, Bitcoin ETFs have attracted billions in investments, contributing to price recoveries post-dips. In a February 2025 interview, Kendrick had projected even loftier targets, such as $500,000 by the end of President Trump’s second term in 2028. These predictions underscore the role of institutional adoption in mitigating short-term volatility.

Bitcoin ETF inflows USD million
Bitcoin ETF inflows, USD, million. Source: Farside Investors

The liquidation event, occurring over the October 10 weekend, marked a record in crypto trading history, wiping out positions across derivatives markets. Bitcoin’s price drop to $104,000 reflected heightened leverage and external pressures, including tariff discussions. However, Kendrick advises patience, estimating several weeks for full market settling before the next buying wave.

Broader market dynamics, such as whale activities—including a $235 million Bitcoin short position opened by a major holder after profiting $200 million from the crash—illustrate ongoing speculation. Similarly, corporate moves like SpaceX transferring $257 million in Bitcoin have sparked discussions on institutional strategies, though no direct price impacts were confirmed.

Frequently Asked Questions

What Factors Could Push Bitcoin to $200,000 by End of 2025?

Several factors support a Bitcoin 2025 price prediction of $200,000, including

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