Bitcoin MVRV indicates a sustained Pre-Euphoria phase: the 30-day difference between Long-Term and Short-Term Holder MVRV shows steady strength without extreme overheat, historically preceding the final parabolic rallies that define cycle peaks.
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30-day Long-Term vs Short-Term Holder MVRV difference confirms a Pre-Euphoria stage.
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Trend shows market strength with no extreme overheating, supporting potential further upside.
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Historical cycles (2013, 2017, 2021) show Pre-Euphoria often preceded the sharp parabolic rallies at cycle peaks.
Bitcoin MVRV signals Pre-Euphoria stage, suggesting potential for a final parabolic rally; monitor holder MVRV spreads and on-chain data for timing. Read more.
What is Bitcoin MVRV signaling about the current market?
Bitcoin MVRV is signaling a durable Pre-Euphoria stage via the 30-day spread between Long-Term Holder and Short-Term Holder MVRV ratios. This spread has historically marked the accumulation window that precedes the final, steep parabolic rallies at cycle peaks.
How does the Long-Term vs Short-Term Holder MVRV difference identify Pre-Euphoria?
The metric measures relative unrealized profit by holder cohort. A rising 30-day difference shows long-term holders gaining relative control while short-term holder risk recedes.
In past cycles (2013, 2017, 2021) this pattern signaled accumulation phases that later transitioned into rapid Euphoria and parabolic price action. The current readings align with those historical patterns.
Bitcoin MVRV data signals a Pre-Euphoria stage, repeating past cycles where final parabolic rallies marked the strongest phase of bull markets.
- Bitcoin MVRV difference between long-term and short-term holders confirms a Pre-Euphoria stage, historically preceding the most aggressive bull rallies.
- The metric’s uptrend shows market strength, with no signs of extreme overheating, suggesting Bitcoin remains well-positioned for further upward momentum.
- Historical cycles reveal Pre-Euphoria stages consistently transitioned into Euphoria phases, unleashing rapid parabolic rallies that defined each market cycle peak.
Bitcoin MVRV crosses signal ‘Pre-Euphoria’, marking a stage that has historically preceded the most aggressive rallies of each major cycle. Analysts suggest this setup could define the final bullish wave of the ongoing market trend.
Why do historical patterns support the Pre-Euphoria phase?
A proprietary metric tracking the 30-day difference between Long-Term Holder and Short-Term Holder MVRV ratios offers crucial insight. This tool has consistently identified market phases where investor positioning shifts before peak rallies take place.
Source: cryptoquant
In 2013, 2017, and 2021, the indicator identified extended Pre-Euphoria phases before rapid market growth. The metric separated steady accumulation from explosive Euphoria rallies that marked cycle peaks.
The current structure mirrors past behavior, as Bitcoin has remained in a sustained ‘Pre-Euphoria’ phase since the 2022 market bottom. This extended stage has historically built the foundation for the strongest upward moves.
When does the market typically transition from Pre-Euphoria to Euphoria?
Transition occurs when the MVRV spread approaches previous-cycle extremes and is confirmed by surges in on-chain activity and price velocity. Historically, that confluence has marked the onset of the fastest parabolic leg.
Once the shift begins, markets historically enter a rapid acceleration period—the final window for outsized gains before the cycle tops. Traders and institutions often increase exposure rapidly during this phase.
Frequently Asked Questions
How can investors use MVRV to manage risk?
Use the 30-day LTH–STH MVRV spread alongside trend, volume, and realized metrics. Scale positions and set protective risk limits as the spread nears historical extremes to manage downside risk.
Is the current Pre-Euphoria reading a buy signal?
It indicates constructive conditions but is not a standalone buy trigger. Combine MVRV signals with price structure, liquidity conditions, and portfolio risk rules before increasing exposure.
Key Takeaways
- Pre-Euphoria confirmed: 30-day LTH–STH MVRV spread shows a sustained upward trend consistent with past accumulation phases.
- Healthy market structure: No extreme overheat readings yet, suggesting room for further appreciation.
- Prepare for rapid move: Historical precedents show this phase often transitions into a fast parabolic Euphoria leg—monitor on-chain confirmation and manage risk.
Conclusion
The Bitcoin MVRV 30-day long-term vs short-term holder spread points to a clear Pre-Euphoria phase, echoing patterns from prior cycles and implying potential for a final parabolic rally. Monitor cohort MVRV, volume, and price velocity for confirmation and apply disciplined risk management as the market approaches historically decisive levels.
