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Bitcoin’s promising potential for substantial price growth is backed by increasing institutional demand and favorable market conditions.
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As exchanges face a significant decline in BTC supply, long-term holders are strategically accumulating coins, diminishing sell pressure.
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Notable analyst insights reveal crucial support levels around $93K and $83K, essential for maintaining bullish momentum.
Bitcoin could surge to $150K–$175K within a year as institutional interest grows and exchange supply diminishes, underpinned by key market indicators.
Analyzing the Bullish Momentum and Market Dynamics
In early May 2025, Bitcoin (BTC) showcases strong potential as on-chain data points to a budding bull market. Analyst AxelAdlerJr’s recent data indicates that Bitcoin is currently in the initial phase of an upswing, with the Bitcoin Composite Index hovering around 0.8 (80%), hinting at bullish prospects.

According to AxelAdlerJr, if this momentum continues, BTC could hit between $150,000 and $175,000. This prediction draws parallels to previous cycles in 2017 and 2021, reinforcing the cyclical nature of Bitcoin price movements.
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However, if the Bitcoin Composite Index remains flat between 0.8 and 1.0, the price may stabilize within the $90,000 to $110,000 range, indicating consolidation among investors. A decline below 0.75 may trigger profit-taking from short-term holders, leading to potential corrections.
AxelAdlerJr further highlights the importance of Year-over-Year True MVRV metrics, which recently returned to a positive trend, suggesting that the average purchasing price of Bitcoin has fallen below the current market price, resulting in less pressure from panic sellers.
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Impact of Exchange Activity on Bitcoin’s Price Trends
Market indicators point to a significant decrease in Bitcoin’s supply on exchanges. Data from Coinglass reveals that about 42,525.89 BTC were withdrawn from centralized exchanges over the past week, bringing the total exchange supply to a seven-year low of approximately 2.48 million BTC. This trend generally indicates accumulating investment interest, positioning Bitcoin for price appreciation.

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Moreover, Bitcoin’s volatility metrics have tapered off, reflecting the lowest levels observed in over 500 days. Historically, low volatility often precedes significant price movements, reminiscent of the period leading up to Bitcoin’s 2020 all-time high.

Technical Review of Key Support Levels
Technical analysis aligns with the prevailing bullish sentiment. Prominent analyst Ali notes that Bitcoin’s critical support zones are established at $93,198 and $83,444. Maintaining above these levels is crucial for sustaining upward price momentum.
“The most critical support levels for Bitcoin $BTC are $93,198 and $83,444. Key zones to watch if momentum shifts,” emphasized Ali in a recent post.
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Supporting this analysis, Breedlove22 has identified indicators suggesting an impending bullish phase for Bitcoin. The Average Miner Cost of Production is currently at a minimum, potentially signaling a robust bull market ahead.

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Additionally, long-term holders have accumulated around 150,000 BTC over the last month, diminishing available supply and highlighting a waning number of sellers in the $80,000 to $100,000 range.
“Bitcoin is running out of sellers in the $80,000 to $100,000 range,” stated Breedlove22, reinforcing the case for continued upward movement.
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Finally, with increasing overall liquidity and investment demand for Bitcoin across all fiat currencies, conditions appear ripe for further price increases. Breedlove22 remarked on the correlation between higher USD liquidity and a rising interest in Bitcoin as a global asset.
Conclusion
Overall, Bitcoin’s trajectory looks promising, with forecasts suggesting a potential rise to $150,000 to $175,000 backed by strong market signals and substantial institutional interest. However, vigilance is necessary given existing support levels at $93,198 and $83,444. Investors should stay informed and agile as market dynamics evolve.
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