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Dogecoin (DOGE) is facing a crucial test of support amid a notable decline, raising questions about its potential recovery in the current market climate.
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As the cryptocurrency hovers around $0.23, a significant support level, indicators suggest that this could be a pivotal moment for DOGE, depending on market sentiment.
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“If DOGE fails to hold this level, it could pave the way for a deeper correction,” highlighted an analyst from COINOTAG.
Dogecoin is testing critical support as price movements indicate potential recovery or further declines; active addresses decrease signals lower interest.
Dogecoin’s decline and the importance of support levels
Dogecoin has fallen significantly from its peak, with the price trading at $0.25299 as of this writing. The 200-day moving average [MA] was positioned at $0.23045, acting as a critical support level for the cryptocurrency. Historically, DOGE has rebounded from similar levels when market conditions favored a recovery. However, if this support fails to hold, a deeper correction could be on the cards.
Source: TradingView
The Fibonacci retracement levels suggest that DOGE has already broken below the 0.618 level [$0.39485], a key area that often determines the continuation of trends. The next major support is near $0.23045, coinciding with the 200-day MA, which could act as a safety net for buyers.
Source: TradingView
RSI and market sentiment indicate potential oversold status
A closer look at DOGE’s Relative Strength Index (RSI) shows that the asset is nearing oversold territory, sitting at 33.32. Typically, an RSI below 30 signals that an asset is heavily oversold and may be due for a bounce. However, continued weakness in market sentiment could lead to further declines before any meaningful recovery takes place.
Active addresses drop, but could a rebound follow?
Another crucial metric to assess is Dogecoin’s Active Addresses, which have seen a substantial decline from their peak levels. The data showed that Active Addresses have dropped from over 9.8 million in December to around 1.32 million.
This suggests decreased network activity, often correlated with lower speculative interest.
Source: Santiment
However, historical trends indicate that significant drops in network activity sometimes precede a recovery, especially if long-term holders start accumulating DOGE at lower prices.
What’s next for DOGE?
For a bullish scenario to materialize, DOGE needs to hold above $0.23045 and reclaim the 50-day MA at $0.32976 as support. A breakout above $0.36 would be the first sign of a potential uptrend continuation. Conversely, if DOGE loses support at $0.23, the next key level to watch would be $0.20, which served as resistance before the late 2024 rally.
With DOGE at a pivotal juncture, traders should keep an eye on key technical indicators and network activity to gauge the likelihood of a rebound. The coming days will be crucial in determining whether Dogecoin can regain momentum, or if further downside awaits.
Conclusion
In summary, Dogecoin is at a crossroads, testing vital support levels that could dictate its trading direction. As active addresses decline and market sentiment weakens, investors should remain vigilant and informed about potential outcomes.
