ETH January 13, 2026: Bullish Momentum Strengthening, Critical Resistance Test Approaching

Ethereum (ETH) caught a strong daily upward momentum at the 3.198,75 dollar level and traded in the 3.083,54-3.214,94 dollar range with a 2,75% gain over the last 24 hours. While market volume reached 15,94 billion dollars and bullish trend signals dominate, the Supertrend indicator's bearish signal urges investors to remain cautious against critical resistance levels. In this analysis, we will delve into ETH's short-term outlook by examining multi-timeframe alignment.

Market Outlook and Current Situation

The Ethereum market is trending clearly upward as of January 13, 2026. ETH, trading at the 3.198,75 dollar level on the daily chart, showed a notable recovery over the last 24-hour period. The 2,75% increase is supported by 15,94 billion dollars in trading volume, indicating that this volume level points to healthy liquidity in the market. Staying above the 24-hour low of 3.083,54 dollars shows that short-term buyers are in control. However, given the volatile nature of the broader crypto market, a further increase in volume is critically important for the sustainability of this rise.

Multi-timeframe (MTF) analysis paints a rich picture for ETH. A total of 13 strong levels were identified across daily (1D), 3-day (3D), and weekly (1W) charts: 4 supports and 2 resistances on 1D, 1 support and 3 resistances on 3D, and 3 supports and 2 resistances on 1W. This alignment emphasizes ETH's potential for an upward breakout as it exits a medium-term consolidation phase. Despite recent global economic uncertainties, ETH is supported by institutional interest according to ETH Spot Analysis data. Accumulated long positions in spot markets have kept the price above EMA20 (3.095,54 dollars), reinforcing the strength of the trend.

In parallel with the rally led by Bitcoin across the market, ETH also gained momentum. However, slightly positive funding rates in the futures market (ETH Futures Analysis) serve as a warning signal against overly leveraged positions. In this period of calm news flow, technical factors take center stage, and ETH breaking the psychological 3.200 dollar barrier could open the doors to a broader rally. On the other hand, a potential decrease in volume could trigger pullbacks.

Technical Analysis: Key Levels to Watch

Support Zones

The key to preserving ETH's current uptrend lies in strong support zones. The most critical support level stands out at 3.124,77 dollars (score: 80/100); this level coincides with recent lows on the daily chart as a Fibonacci retracement zone. If this area holds, buyers can step in quickly to push the price higher. At a lower level, 3.053,71 dollars (score: 62/100) offers support aligned with EMA20 and serves as an ideal buffer for short-term corrections.

In a deeper pullback scenario, 2.623,57 dollars (score: 61/100) forms a strong base on the weekly timeframe. This level represents consolidation lows from past months and is reinforced by MTF confluence. This support on the 1W chart serves as the last line of defense to avoid breaking ETH's bull market structure. Historically, such high-score supports have shown a hold rate above 70%, with recoveries observed alongside volume increases. Investors can reference these zones in stop-loss strategies but should always account for volatility.

Resistance Barriers

The first obstacle to the upside is the 3.230,55 dollar resistance (score: 73/100). This level, coinciding with recent highs on the daily chart, is a region where short-term sellers are concentrated. While price is expected to test this area, the next target could be 3.437,78 dollars (score: 61/100) in the event of a volume-backed breakout. This upper level aligns with the Supertrend indicator's bearish resistance line (3.469,54 dollars) and provides additional confluence on the 3D timeframe.

The strength of resistances is also evident from the MTF distribution: 3 resistance pressures dominate on 3D, and weekly closes are required to confirm a breakout. According to historical data, resistances with similar scores show an average 55% breakout rate, though ETH's volatile nature opens the door to sudden spikes. Breaking these barriers could trigger new long opportunities in spot and futures markets.

Momentum Indicators and Trend Strength

Momentum indicators paint a balanced yet bullish-leaning picture for ETH. RSI (Relative Strength Index) is positioned at 58,13 in the neutral-bullish zone; staying below 70 limits overbought risk, while remaining above 50 confirms trend strength. The MACD indicator gives a clear bullish signal with a positive histogram; the MACD line trading above the signal line indicates continuing momentum growth. This combination shows that the short-term trend is healthy.

From an EMA perspective, the situation is bright: Price being above EMA20 (3.095,54 dollars) confirms the short-term bullish bias. However, the Supertrend indicator being bearish and pointing to the 3.469,54 dollar resistance creates a notable divergence. This can be interpreted as a potential trend reversal warning, as Supertrend is known for its high accuracy rate despite delayed signals on the daily timeframe. The upward curl of EMA50 on the weekly chart emphasizes the solidity of the medium-term trend.

Overall trend strength analysis is supported by MTF confluence. While bullish signals dominate on 1D, slight bearish divergences exist on 1W. Looking at the volume profile, increasing volume on up days reflects buyer determination. When evaluated collectively, these indicators suggest that ETH's momentum is preserved, but caution is advised against overheating.

Risk Assessment and Trading Outlook

ETH's risk/reward ratio looks attractive when calculated from current levels. In the bullish scenario, the first target is 3.437,78 dollars (approximately 7,5% gain), followed by the Supertrend resistance at 3.469,54 dollars (8,5%). On the bearish side, levels to watch are 3.124,77 dollars (2,3% loss) and 2.623,57 dollars (18% loss). The R/R ratio is around 1:3 for bullish targets, offering a balanced profile for technical traders. However, with high volatility index (4-5% daily based on ATR), position sizes should be limited.

In the positive scenario, a breakout above 3.230 dollars could accelerate the rally; in the negative, a drop below 3.124 could signal a trend reversal. Liquidity pools in market structure increase stop-hunt risk. The calm news flow creates a technically focused outlook, while macro factors (e.g., Fed decisions) could cause sudden deviations. Although the short-term outlook has a bullish bias, a balanced approach is recommended due to Supertrend warnings – long positions above support, shorts below resistance.

In the long term, ETH's ecosystem growth (Layer-2 adoption) supports upside potential. However, BTC movements will be decisive due to general crypto correlation. Risk management always comes first: 1-2% risk rule and trailing stops provide protection against volatility. This outlook should be updated according to dynamic market conditions.