Ethereum’s (ETH) ‘Ultra-Sound Money’ Narrative Debunked by Dencun: Insights from CryptoQuant

  • Researchers at CryptoQuant, a crypto analytics platform, are now disproving the idea that Ethereum is “ultra-sound money,” especially after activating the highly anticipated Dencun Upgrade in mid-March.
  • Analysts observe that the hard fork has slowed the number of coins going to the “furnace.” Accordingly, ETH is now more deflationary, considering the rising daily supply over the past weeks.
  • With Dencun, Ethereum developers introduced proto-danksharding for more efficient and cheap transaction processing, especially by layer-2 platforms like Arbitrum.

Researchers at CryptoQuant are challenging the notion of Ethereum as “ultra-sound money” following the Dencun Upgrade, observing a slowed rate of coins being burned and a more deflationary ETH.

The Impact Of Dencun On Gas Fees

The Dencun Upgrade was one of the major updates after The Merge. With Dencun, Ethereum developers introduced proto-danksharding for more efficient and cheap transaction processing, especially by layer-2 platforms like Arbitrum. The update enhanced the mainnet scalability, allowing the primary layer to handle more transactions without congestion or gas fees spiking. However, the problem with lower gas fees from layer-2 transactions, which are bundled and confirmed on the mainnet, means Ethereum is now burning fewer coins.

Ethereum’s Inflationary Trend

As a result of these changes, ETH is gradually becoming inflationary after months of supply reduction, reflecting the adoption of the mainnet and off-chain solutions. The rate at which ETH became deflationary pre-Dencun meant the “ultra-sound money” narrative was valid. Due to the rapidly falling supply, ETH, like BTC or gold, could become a store of value.

Ethereum Is Becoming Inflationary: Study

CryptoQuant data now paints a concerning picture. A report found that shrinking gas fees from layer-2 platforms translates to lower ETH being taken from supply. This “structural shift” researchers discovered, means that ETH supply is no longer decreasing as rapidly as before. In their assessment, they noted that in recent days, the ETH supply has been growing at the fastest daily rate since the Merge. At this pace, if the rate of ETH burning continues to drop, Ethereum may no longer be on track to become deflationary. It will be especially so if activity shifts, as has been the case, to competition low-fee and scalable networks like Solana and Avalanche.

Conclusion

The Dencun Upgrade has had a significant impact on Ethereum’s economic model, slowing the rate of coin burning and leading to a more inflationary ETH. If this trend continues, Ethereum may no longer be on track to become deflationary. This development highlights the dynamic and evolving nature of the crypto economy, and the need for investors to stay informed about these changes.

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