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Whale activity fuels BTC breakout as supply drops and bullish momentum builds.
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Whale accumulation intensifies as over 17,000 BTC exit exchanges in one week.
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MVRV and NUPL signal further upside potential, with BTC targeting the $98K level.
Bitcoin’s recent surge is a result of significant whale activity and declining supply, setting the stage for a potential rise toward $100K.
BTC exchange behavior signals rising demand pressure
With Bitcoin’s exchange reserves now sitting at 2.549 million BTC, the market is experiencing a notable decline in sell-side liquidity. This reduction in available supply often leads to stronger price movements, especially when demand rises in tandem.
At the same time, the Exchange Stablecoin Ratio has climbed 4.97%, revealing that stablecoins on exchanges are growing faster than Bitcoin deposits.
This ratio is a leading indicator of buying potential, as it reflects how much capital is ready to be deployed into the market.
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Profitability grows, but conviction remains firm
IntoTheBlock data showed that 86.22% of Bitcoin holders were in profit at press time, with no addresses at a loss. This widespread profitability could lead to profit-taking under normal conditions. However, the Net Unrealized Profit/Loss (NUPL) ratio was at 0.516, indicating that investors were sitting on gains but were not rushing to exit.
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Typically, high NUPL values increase the risk of sell pressure, yet the absence of underwater holders points to strong market confidence. Investors appear comfortable holding longer, possibly expecting a continued rally based on both technical strength and macro optimism. This patience reduces downward pressure and keeps price momentum intact.

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Source: CryptoQuant
Valuation metrics hint at room to grow
The MVRV ratio—which compares market value to realized value—rose by 5.59% to 2.12, indicating that Bitcoin’s current valuation remains reasonable. Historically, readings above 3.7 have preceded market tops, while values between 2 and 3 often accompany healthy growth phases.
With the ratio still below overheating levels, BTC appears to have more upside potential before valuation becomes a concern.

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Source: CryptoQuant
Price structure unlocks higher upside targets
Bitcoin recently broke out of a descending wedge, a pattern known for bullish reversals, and confirmed support at $83,462 after flipping it from resistance. The next critical resistance level lies near $98,211, which could serve as a springboard toward six figures if breached convincingly.
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Additionally, the Stochastic RSI reflects bullish momentum, with a crossover in overbought territory supporting near-term continuation. As long as BTC maintains strength above the $93K region, the rally remains intact and the path toward $110,000 grows increasingly feasible.

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All eyes on $100K: Can BTC sustain its breakout?
All key indicators—from on-chain supply and profit metrics to valuation models and technical structure—point toward a market that is gradually aligning for a strong upward continuation. If Bitcoin sustains its current momentum, backed by institutional conviction and diminishing sell pressure, it stands a realistic chance of breaching the elusive $100K mark in the weeks ahead.
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