- Recent data reveals that a significant portion of the top 300 cryptocurrencies are nearing major unlocking events, potentially impacting their market values.
- Approximately 20% of these cryptocurrencies have a substantial amount of their supply still locked, posing a challenge for long-term investors.
- The study utilized data from CoinGecko and focused on non-stablecoin and non-wrapped altcoins.
Upcoming unlocking events in the cryptocurrency market could lead to significant price volatility, particularly for altcoins with substantial amounts yet to circulate. Investors are advised to monitor these developments closely.
Exploring the Ratio of Market Value to FDV
The study categorized cryptocurrencies based on their market value relative to their fully diluted valuation (FDV). Cryptocurrencies with a circulating supply to maximum supply ratio below 0.49 were identified as having significant upcoming unlocks, indicating a potentially volatile phase as more tokens enter circulation.
Implications of High Unlock Ratios
The research identified several cryptocurrencies with exceptionally low circulating to total supply ratios, such as Worldcoin, Cheelee, Starknet, and Saga. These findings suggest that as these cryptocurrencies move towards diluting their supply, sharp price adjustments could occur. For instance, DYDX, with less than 10% of its tokens initially circulating, saw its price reach $30. However, for its price to return to previous highs, a significant increase in market value would be necessary, a challenging feat given current market conditions.
Key Insights for Cryptocurrency Holders
- Monitoring unlock schedules is crucial for anticipating market movements.
- Setting investment targets based on maximum supply can provide a more realistic expectation of future prices.
- Older cryptocurrencies with high FDV ratios are less likely to undergo severe price volatility due to unlocks.
Conclusion
In conclusion, the cryptocurrency market is currently witnessing a phase where upcoming unlocking events could potentially lead to significant price volatility, particularly for altcoins with substantial amounts yet to circulate. Investors are advised to keep a close watch on these developments and adjust their investment strategies accordingly to mitigate potential risks.
