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Bitcoin’s attempts at a bullish divergence have drawn mixed reactions, particularly as gold emerges as a beacon of stability amidst market volatility.
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Despite Bitcoin’s recent price movements, gold has surged to new heights, highlighting the difference in investor sentiment towards these assets.
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Commenting on Bitcoin’s current state, analyst Rekt Capital noted, “Promising early-stage signs of a Bullish Divergence developing,” suggesting cautious optimism among traders.
Bitcoin faces critical resistance levels while gold hits record highs, illustrating contrasting trends in investment assets amidst global market uncertainty.
BTC price RSI teases key “bullish divergence”
Data from Cointelegraph Markets Pro and TradingView showed BTC/USD gaining up to 5% on the day before consolidating. A characteristic lack of momentum at the start of the US trading session persisted, with risk assets still wary of macroeconomic and geopolitical surprises, notably in the form of US trade tariffs. Assessing the current status quo on the daily BTC/USD chart, popular trader and analyst Rekt Capital reported increasing odds of a bullish divergence playing out on the relative strength index (RSI) metric.
Here, RSI should make higher lows as the price forms lower lows to indicate waning seller dominance. “Promising early-stage signs of a Bullish Divergence developing,” he wrote in one of the day’s posts on X.
“Reclaiming the previous lows of $84k could set price up to further build out this Bull Div.”
Another post flagged a key horizontal resistance line currently under attack from bulls. “Bitcoin continues to Daily Close below the blue resistance. However, each rejection from this resistance appears to be weakening in terms of follow-through to the downside,” Rekt Capital commented.
“If this weakening in the resistance persists… This should open up the opportunity for BTC to finally Daily Close above this $84k resistance, reclaim it as support, and finally trend continue to the upside.”
Analyst Insights on Moving Averages
Keith Alan, co-founder of trading resource Material Indicators, meanwhile focused on the 21-day and 200-day simple moving averages (SMAs). At the time of writing, these stood at $83,740 and $86,800, respectively. “BTC is poised to make another run at reclaiming the 200-Day MA, but it will only count if we get a sustained close above it, AND it is closely followed by an R/S Flip at the 21-Day MA,” an X post on the topic read.
Alan referenced one of Material Indicators’ proprietary trading tools, calling for an increase in “bullish momentum.” “Notice how Trend Precognition’s A1 Slope line is showing a developing momentum shift,” he commented alongside a corresponding chart.
“Reverting from downward momentum is step 1. We need to see an increase in bullish momentum from here, with bids moving higher to stage a sustainable rally.”
Gold leaves Bitcoin in the dust
Elsewhere, the S&P 500 saw some welcome relief at the open after dropping 10% from its latest all-time highs to officially begin a technical correction. Related: Bitcoin panic selling costs new investors $100M in 6 weeks — Research. Meanwhile, gold set new record highs of over $3,000 per ounce as investors sought shelter from turbulent macro conditions.
As Cointelegraph reported, Bitcoin broke a key long-term trendline against gold as its relative underperformance in 2025 became all the more visible.
Market Dynamics and Investor Sentiment
Understanding the interplay between Bitcoin and gold is critical, especially as traditional safe havens gain traction during periods of economic uncertainty. Recent shifts in market dynamics have shown that while Bitcoin was once seen as a digital gold, its volatility during critical geopolitical events has raised questions about its reliability as a store of value. Analysts have noted that investors often flock to gold when market conditions worsen, highlighting the enduring appeal of precious metals during crises.
Conclusion
In summary, Bitcoin’s potential for a bullish divergence faces headwinds from persistent resistance and broader market sentiments, while gold continues to shine as a safe haven amid increasing global economic concerns. Moving forward, traders should closely monitor Bitcoin’s critical resistance levels and RSI movements for signs of a sustained recovery, while also keeping an eye on gold’s record-breaking performance.
