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On March 20th, Ryan Weldon, the Portfolio Manager at IFM Investment Company, shared insights regarding the Federal Reserve’s recent announcements and the updated dot plot. This indicates a notable volatility in economic data, underscoring the uncertainty surrounding the Fed’s potential rate-cutting cycle. Weldon emphasized the importance of continuous data over several months to establish a foundation for any future cuts in policy rates, despite signs of a stabilized labor market and gradual movements towards the inflation target. He also highlighted the necessity for the Fed to balance the dichotomy between diminished economic growth projections and heightened inflation expectations set for 2025. As the economic landscape evolves, these factors will be critical in determining the Fed’s next steps.
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