Bitcoin Could Approach $100,000 as Whales Absorb Record Supply Amid Technical Breakout

  • Bitcoin’s resurgence is evident as a technical breakout signals potential gains, placing a sharp focus on its price trajectory toward $100,000.

  • Despite the external pressures from macroeconomic factors, Bitcoin’s elite investors are doubling down, showing an unprecedented accumulation pattern.

  • According to COINOTAG, a notable trend has emerged with Bitcoin whales absorbing over 300% of the new supply, indicating a strong bullish sentiment.

Bitcoin’s price technical breakout hints at reaching $100K as whale accumulations soar and retail sentiment shifts towards buying the recent dips.

Unprecedented Accumulation by Bitcoin Whales

Recent data indicates that Bitcoin whales are absorbing an astounding 300% of the new annual supply, demonstrating a profound shift in market dynamics. This trend, highlighted by Glassnode, reveals that significant holders, defined as those possessing 100 to over 1,000 BTC, have dramatically increased their acquisitions. In conjunction, exchanges report a decline in Bitcoin reserves at a staggering rate, reflecting a shift towards self-custody over exchange storage. This trend underscores an increasing confidence among institutional and whale investors, as they anticipate long-term growth.

Growing Preference for Self-Custody

The current landscape signals a marked preference for self-custody, with the yearly absorption rate by exchanges dropping below -200%. This behavior suggests a transformative trend where Bitcoin is being increasingly viewed as a long-term asset rather than a short-term speculative vehicle. Such accumulation behaviors are reminiscent of previous bullish phases, particularly noted before past market rallies.

Retail Investors Rejoining the Market

The sentiment extends beyond just whales; retail investors are showing renewed interest in accumulating Bitcoin. Glassnode’s Trend Accumulation Score indicates that larger holders of Bitcoin, particularly those with over 10,000 BTC, have remained in strong accumulation territory, signaling confidence in long-term price appreciation. Smaller cohorts, previously in distribution mode, are now stabilizing, transitioning back to accumulation at around a neutral zone score of 0.5.

Whale Patterns Resemble Previous Bull Runs

Market analysts, including renowned on-chain analyst Mignolet, point out that current whale activities mirror those seen before Bitcoin’s impressive 2020 bull runs. The accumulation patterns demonstrated by these whales suggest potential price resilience and upward movement in the coming months, indicating a bullish cycle that is gaining momentum.

Technical Analysis Points to $100,000 Target

Bitcoin’s recent breakout from a falling wedge pattern is noteworthy, as this signifies a possible bullish reversal. The falling wedge consolidation typically precedes a significant upward price movement. By applying traditional technical analysis methods, many traders project a potential target for Bitcoin’s price to exceed $100,000 by May, based on the wedge’s height calculations added to the breakout point.

Resistance Levels to Watch

While enthusiasm builds for a potential rally, Bitcoin’s price faces substantial resistance at its 50-day and 200-day exponential moving averages, currently hovering around $85,300. Market analyst Scott Melker highlights the importance of these resistances, noting that a failure to overcome these levels could lead to retesting the upper trendline of the wedge, approximately $80,000. As such, the upcoming trading sessions will be crucial in determining the market’s direction.

Conclusion

In summary, Bitcoin is currently witnessing a significant accumulation phase led by whales and renewed interest from retail investors. With key technical indicators suggesting a bullish breakout potential toward $100,000, the market is poised for critical developments. The current landscape reflects a profound shift in both sentiment and behavior, indicating that Bitcoin may be on the cusp of a major price surge, contingent on overcoming immediate resistance levels.

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