Whale Accumulation and Diminished Supply May Enhance Bitcoin’s Path Toward $100K

• Whale activity fuels BTC breakout as supply drops and bullish momentum builds.

• Whale accumulation intensifies as over 17,000 BTC exit exchanges in one week.

• MVRV and NUPL signal further upside potential, with BTC targeting the $98K level.

Bitcoin’s recent surge is a result of significant whale activity and declining supply, setting the stage for a potential rise toward $100K.

BTC exchange behavior signals rising demand pressure

With Bitcoin’s exchange reserves now sitting at 2.549 million BTC, the market is experiencing a notable decline in sell-side liquidity. This reduction in available supply often leads to stronger price movements, especially when demand rises in tandem.

At the same time, the Exchange Stablecoin Ratio has climbed 4.97%, revealing that stablecoins on exchanges are growing faster than Bitcoin deposits.

This ratio is a leading indicator of buying potential, as it reflects how much capital is ready to be deployed into the market.

Profitability grows, but conviction remains firm

IntoTheBlock data showed that 86.22% of Bitcoin holders were in profit at press time, with no addresses at a loss. This widespread profitability could lead to profit-taking under normal conditions. However, the Net Unrealized Profit/Loss (NUPL) ratio was at 0.516, indicating that investors were sitting on gains but were not rushing to exit.

Typically, high NUPL values increase the risk of sell pressure, yet the absence of underwater holders points to strong market confidence. Investors appear comfortable holding longer, possibly expecting a continued rally based on both technical strength and macro optimism. This patience reduces downward pressure and keeps price momentum intact.

Source: CryptoQuant

Valuation metrics hint at room to grow

The MVRV ratio—which compares market value to realized value—rose by 5.59% to 2.12, indicating that Bitcoin’s current valuation remains reasonable. Historically, readings above 3.7 have preceded market tops, while values between 2 and 3 often accompany healthy growth phases.

With the ratio still below overheating levels, BTC appears to have more upside potential before valuation becomes a concern.

Source: CryptoQuant

Price structure unlocks higher upside targets

Bitcoin recently broke out of a descending wedge, a pattern known for bullish reversals, and confirmed support at $83,462 after flipping it from resistance. The next critical resistance level lies near $98,211, which could serve as a springboard toward six figures if breached convincingly.

Additionally, the Stochastic RSI reflects bullish momentum, with a crossover in overbought territory supporting near-term continuation. As long as BTC maintains strength above the $93K region, the rally remains intact and the path toward $110,000 grows increasingly feasible.

All eyes on $100K: Can BTC sustain its breakout?

All key indicators—from on-chain supply and profit metrics to valuation models and technical structure—point toward a market that is gradually aligning for a strong upward continuation. If Bitcoin sustains its current momentum, backed by institutional conviction and diminishing sell pressure, it stands a realistic chance of breaching the elusive $100K mark in the weeks ahead.