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Bitcoin’s recent surge to nearly $112,000 has sparked discussions on market sustainability, revealing buyer fatigue amidst bullish optimism.
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Despite signs of exhaustion, many analysts maintain that Bitcoin could still target $150,000 should critical support levels hold firm.
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According to market intelligence firm Glassnode, “a decline in momentum may signal cooling buyer enthusiasm,” indicating a potential pause in Bitcoin’s bullish trend.
Bitcoin’s ascent to $112K shows buyer fatigue, yet analysts eye $150K as a viable target if key support levels are maintained. Read on to learn more.
Bitcoin’s Rally to $111K Triggers Buyer Fatigue
Bitcoin’s (BTC) astonishing climb to $111,000 has raised questions about market sustainability as the daily relative strength index (RSI) indicated overbought conditions reaching 79.6. Recently, the RSI has experienced a significant decrease, dropping 15% to approximately 67, according to insights from Glassnode. The firm noted:
“This decline may signal cooling buyer enthusiasm, reduction in upward momentum, and a potential pause or reversal in the recent bullish trend.”
The latest data also underscores a shift in trader sentiment. Although Bitcoin futures open interest (OI) has increased significantly, reaching all-time highs, the perpetual cumulative volume delta (CVD) has shown a concerning downward trend. This suggests a rise in “stronger sell-side flows” and a more cautious demeanor among investors.
Understanding Market Sentiment: Analyzing Bitcoin’s CVD
Recent data from Glassnode indicates that the perpetual CVD for Bitcoin has fallen from -$425.4 million to -$608.2 million, representing a 43% decrease. This downward trajectory reflects a shift in market sentiment, as noted in their analysis:
“The persistent decline in CVD reflects bearish sentiment, highlighting dominant sell-side pressure in Bitcoin’s futures market.”
Bitcoin Traders Set $150,000 Price Target
As of May 27, Bitcoin was trading at $109,600, maintaining its position above the crucial $106,000 support level throughout the past week. Analyst AlphaBTC remarked on social media:
“Bitcoin is still holding above the 106K level,”
Adding that an accompanying chart suggested BTC might trade in an ascending channel, projecting a price target above $120,000. Furthermore, popular analyst Michael van de Poppe mentioned that Bitcoin is “looking to attack” the all-time highs but may retest around the $102,000 mark before pushing again toward $115,000.
Technical Analysis: Diverging Paths for Bitcoin
Analyst Titan of Crypto has proposed a Fibonacci retracement model predicting a cycle top of approximately $135,000 for Bitcoin if it mirrors a pattern from 2024. This speculation has sparked discussions among traders, particularly as Bitcoin aims for a significant breakout:
“#Bitcoin 100% Fibonacci Extension at $135,000 is replicating the same pattern,” shared by Titan.
Moreover, fellow analyst Rekt Capital has introduced his price discovery roadmap, indicating that BTC is “transitioning into Price Discovery Uptrend 2,” akin to the substantial rally seen earlier this year.
Future Outlook: Catalysts for Bitcoin’s Next Move
Bitcoin has a clear roadmap toward its ambitious target of $150,000, especially after successfully testing the key support at $106,000. As market participants closely monitor these developments, BTC’s ability to maintain its position and upward momentum will be critical amid prevailing uncertainties.
Conclusion
In summary, while Bitcoin’s recent highs have demonstrated significant buying power, emerging signs of buyer fatigue warrant careful observation. With critical support levels intact, the prospect of a climb toward $150,000 remains feasible. It’s essential for traders to remain vigilant and informed as market conditions evolve.
