SHIB Deflation and Rising Retail Activity Suggest Potential Trend Shift Amid Bearish Pressure

• Shiba Inu (SHIB) exhibits a remarkable surge in deflationary activity and growing retail engagement, signaling a potential shift in market dynamics.

• Despite a massive token burn and increased user participation, SHIB’s price remains subdued, reflecting a complex interplay between retail enthusiasm and whale inactivity.

• According to COINOTAG, the sharp rise in exchange outflows coupled with a slight bullish flip in funding rates suggests cautious optimism among traders.

SHIB’s token burn spikes 5762.9% with rising retail activity and exchange outflows, hinting at a possible trend reversal amid subdued price action.

Retail Traffic Rises as Whales Step Back: SHIB On-Chain Activity Analysis

Recent on-chain metrics reveal a significant uptick in retail participation, with new addresses increasing by 19.83%, active addresses by 9.41%, and zero balance addresses surging 29.38% over the past week. This influx indicates heightened user engagement and increased address churn, typical of retail-driven market phases.

However, transaction size analysis presents a nuanced picture. Sub-$1 transactions soared by 238.46%, while larger transactions in the $1K–$10K and $10K–$100K ranges dropped sharply by 66.52% and 74.56%, respectively. This divergence underscores a shift toward retail dominance, as whale activity diminishes, limiting significant upward price pressure.

Source: IntoTheBlock

SHIB Holds at Demand Zone, but Technicals Show More Room for Downside

SHIB is currently trading within a critical demand zone between $0.00001028 and $0.00001196, a range historically associated with buying interest and potential support. Despite this, the token remains capped below a descending trendline, maintaining a bearish structural outlook.

The Relative Strength Index (RSI) at 41 indicates weak momentum without reaching oversold conditions, suggesting the possibility of further downside before a meaningful recovery. This technical setup highlights the importance of monitoring key support levels for potential entry points.

Source: TradingView

Market Flows Indicate SHIB Holders Leaning Toward Long-Term Holding

Exchange flow data reveals a notable divergence between inflows and outflows. While 7-day Exchange Inflows rose by 26.43%, indicating some selling interest, outflows surged by 92.01%, nearly doubling inflows. This trend suggests that a significant segment of SHIB holders prefer self-custody, reflecting increased long-term conviction.

Such a pattern typically reduces immediate selling pressure and signals a holder base willing to endure volatility, which can be a positive foundation for future price stability or appreciation.

Derivatives Metrics Show Cautious Bullish Sentiment Among Traders

SHIB’s Open Interest-Weighted Funding Rate has turned slightly positive at 0.0048%, indicating a modest tilt toward long positions. This shift points to cautious optimism among derivatives traders, although overall conviction remains subdued.

The OKX Liquidation Heatmap highlights critical liquidity zones between $0.0000132 and $0.0000133, where short positions are vulnerable. A successful breach above this range could trigger short squeezes, potentially accelerating upward momentum. Conversely, robust support clusters near $0.00001208 may provide a safety net during price dips.

Source: CoinGlass

Can SHIB’s Deflation and Network Activity Spark a Breakout?

The convergence of SHIB’s unprecedented burn rate, rising retail engagement, and dominant exchange outflows suggests growing investor conviction. However, the absence of whale participation and the prevailing bearish technical structure remain significant obstacles.

Until SHIB decisively breaks above the descending resistance and clears the $0.0000133 liquidity cluster, upward momentum may remain constrained. Nevertheless, the current environment lays foundational bullish elements, with retail momentum and reduced circulating supply potentially setting the stage for a future recovery.

Conclusion

Shiba Inu’s recent deflationary surge and increased retail activity highlight a market in transition, marked by growing long-term holder conviction despite muted price response. While technical indicators caution that further downside is possible, the shift in market flows and derivatives sentiment point to cautious optimism. Investors should monitor key resistance and support levels closely, as a breakout above critical liquidity zones could catalyze renewed upward momentum. For now, SHIB’s evolving dynamics warrant attention from traders seeking to capitalize on early signals of a potential trend reversal.