XRP May Be Oversold After August Slide; Could See Short-Term Bounce as Ripple Signs RLUSD MOU

• Hourly RSI below 30 signals oversold conditions on XRP

• XRP fell from an Aug. 8 high of $3.38 to an intraday low near $2.78; daily SMA 50 at $2.99 was lost.

• 24h performance: down ~2.8%; market liquidations roughly $312 million (CoinGlass data).

Meta description: XRP oversold signal—hourly RSI below 30 signals short-term relief potential; read the price outlook, key levels, and what to watch next. Stay informed with COINOTAG.

What is the XRP oversold signal?

The XRP oversold signal refers to the hourly Relative Strength Index (RSI) falling below 30, indicating momentum has swung heavily to sellers. This short-term technical trigger suggests a possible relief rally or bounce, but confirmation from price action and broader market recovery is required before forecasting a sustained reversal.

How does the RSI reading affect XRP price action?

The hourly RSI dropping below 30 is a standard momentum alert for oversold conditions. XRP has extended its decline since an Aug. 8 high of $3.38, breaking the daily SMA 50 at $2.99 and printing an intraday low near $2.78. At press time XRP was trading about 2.76% lower over 24 hours at $2.80, while broader market liquidations totaled approximately $312 million, according to CoinGlass data. These metrics increase the odds of short-term mean reversion but do not guarantee a trend reversal.

Why did XRP fall below the daily SMA 50?

Price action since Aug. 8 shows XRP retreating from a $3.38 high as traders took profits and risk-sensitive assets reacted to macro uncertainty. The loss of the daily SMA 50 at $2.99 reflects this shift in momentum. Selling intensified into an intraday low near $2.78, and the hourly RSI slipped under 30, marking short-term oversold conditions.

What are the immediate market drivers to watch?

Short-term drivers include: 1) liquidity and liquidation events (approx. $312M recently), 2) technical confirmation above/below key moving averages, and 3) macro commentary—most notably speeches from central bank officials such as Jerome Powell at Jackson Hole. Positive institutional news, including Ripple’s announced memorandum of understanding for SBI VC Trade to distribute RLUSD in Japan, can also shift sentiment. Sources cited as plain text: CoinGlass, Ripple, SBI VC Trade.

Frequently Asked Questions

How likely is a sustained recovery for XRP after an RSI oversold read?

A sustained recovery requires confirmation: RSI divergence, higher volume on up-days, and reclaiming the daily SMA 50. An hourly oversold reading alone often precedes a short relief bounce; broader market strength is usually needed for a stable uptrend.

Can macro events at Jackson Hole move XRP price?

Yes. Central bank guidance can alter risk appetite across markets. Clear signals about interest rates or policy tone from notable speakers may prompt crypto market moves, affecting XRP’s short-term trajectory.

Key Takeaways

• RSI signal: Hourly RSI below 30 indicates short-term oversold conditions for XRP.
• Technical levels: Daily SMA 50 at ~$2.99 and recent low near $2.78 are critical for near-term bias.
• Market context: Liquidations (~$312M) and macro events like Jackson Hole could determine whether oversold leads to a relief rally or further weakness.

Conclusion

The XRP oversold signal on hourly charts highlights elevated short-term selling pressure but does not alone confirm a trend reversal. Traders and investors should look for confirmation via reclaiming the daily SMA 50, stronger volume, and supportive macro headlines. Monitor liquidity metrics and official updates from Ripple and market data providers as the market digests upcoming macro signals.

Publication date: 2025-08-22 | Updated: 2025-08-22