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XRP’s $2.81 price support is the critical short-term divider: a confirmed defense at $2.81 preserves bullish recovery toward $3.20, while a decisive break risks cascading liquidations and a drop to $2.65–$2.52. Monitor NVT, Spot Taker CVD and liquidation heatmaps for confirmation.
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Support level: $2.81 is the key on-chain and order-book battleground for XRP.
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High NVT (168, +441% 24h) signals valuation outpacing transactions, increasing correction risk.
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Spot Taker CVD shows persistent sell-side dominance; Binance liquidation clusters concentrate risk near $2.80.
XRP price support $2.81 faces test; watch NVT, Spot Taker CVD and liquidation clusters for trade signals — read latest on risks and targets.
Can XRP bulls defend the $2.81 support zone?
XRP price support at $2.81 is the immediate pivot: if buyers hold $2.81, the path to recovery toward $3.20 opens; a sustained break would likely accelerate downside toward $2.65 and $2.52. Traders should prioritize on-chain flows and order-book depth when sizing positions.
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What does the on-chain NVT spike imply for XRP?
On-chain data showed XRP’s Network Value to Transactions (NVT) Ratio jump to 168 — a 441% increase in 24 hours. This large spike indicates market value has risen faster than transaction activity, historically preceding repricing events. While not a guaranteed sell signal, elevated NVT increases probability of correction during low-volume consolidation.
A red flag for XRP?
XRP tested resilience near $2.81 after slipping 1.58% in 24 hours to trade around $2.8169 at press time. The coin formed an extended consolidation inside a descending channel, with Fibonacci levels (0.618 ≈ $2.75, 0.786 ≈ $2.65) offering secondary defenses below $2.81.
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Failure at $2.81 could expose targets at $2.52 and the 1.618 extension near $2.15. Conversely, a robust defense can trigger short-covering and push initial resistance at $3.20.

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Source: TradingView
Does Spot Taker CVD confirm sellers are still in control?
Spot Taker Cumulative Volume Delta (CVD) over 90 days displayed consistent sell-side pressure, indicating aggressive profit-taking and declining buyer absorption. This imbalance makes a decisive rebound less likely until buyers step in and reverse CVD trends.

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Source: CryptoQuant
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What do liquidation clusters reveal about near-term risks?
Binance liquidation heatmaps show heavy liquidity clusters around $2.80–$2.85, concentrated slightly below current trade levels. These clusters act as both risk zones for cascading liquidations and potential magnets for short squeezes if buyers absorb selling pressure.
Traders should treat $2.80 as a battleground: a breakdown increases liquidation cascades toward $2.65, while a defended level increases odds of rapid rebounds driven by short-covering.
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Source: CoinGlass
Can XRP survive the test at $2.81?
Despite elevated NVT and sell-dominated CVD, XRP can still survive the $2.81 test if buyers absorb selling and restore positive CVD momentum. A validated defense targets $3.20; a failure confirms the bearish view and opens $2.65 and $2.52 as next supports.
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Frequently Asked Questions
What is the immediate downside if XRP breaks $2.81?
If XRP breaks $2.81 with increased volume and liquidation cascades, the immediate downside targets are $2.65 and $2.52, with a secondary extension toward $2.15 if momentum accelerates.
How can traders monitor whether $2.81 will hold?
Watch NVT for valuation vs. activity, Spot Taker CVD for order-flow bias, and Binance liquidation heatmaps for clustered risk. Short-term volume confirmation and order-book absorption at $2.81 are decisive signals.
Key Takeaways
- $2.81 is critical: defend this level to keep recovery toward $3.20 viable.
- On-chain warning: NVT spiked to 168 (+441% 24h), raising correction risk.
- Order-flow risk: Spot Taker CVD shows sell dominance; liquidation clusters increase short-term volatility.
Conclusion
XRP price support at $2.81 remains the dividing line between resilience and deeper correction. Traders should use on-chain metrics (NVT), exchange flow (Spot Taker CVD) and liquidation heatmaps to confirm direction. COINOTAG will monitor updates; trade with defined risk and watch $2.81 closely.
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