Altcoins Could Begin Outperforming Bitcoin After TOTAL3/BTC Breaks Three-Year Downtrend, Analysts Suggest

• TOTAL3/BTC cleared a long-term downtrend, flipping resistance near $0.50 into support.

• Weekly closes above the trendline and rising participation suggest conviction behind the move.

• Analysts note this breakout could mark the start of a protracted altcoin cycle after multi-year underperformance versus Bitcoin.

Altcoins vs Bitcoin breakout: TOTAL3/BTC clears resistance near $0.50 and flips support—read analyst insights and trading cues now.

Altcoins have finally breached a three-year bearish slope versus Bitcoin as the TOTAL3/BTC ratio pierced a major resistance band, prompting analysts to call a potential start to a renewed altcoin cycle.

• Altcoins finally break a three-year downtrend against Bitcoin as TOTAL3/BTC clears resistance, signaling renewed strength and recovery momentum.
• Analysts highlight that the breakout near $0.50 flips resistance into support, suggesting a strong base for extended altcoin outperformance.
• Market sentiment stays bearish, yet analysts believe altcoins now begin a fresh cycle of strength as business and market cycles improve.

Altcoins have just broken free from a three-year downtrend against Bitcoin, creating urgency among traders and analysts across the market.

What happened to TOTAL3/BTC?

The TOTAL3/BTC breakout occurred after the ratio cleared a multi-year descending trendline and closed weekly above the $0.48–$0.52 band. This move converts a persistent ceiling into a near-term support zone and signals the possibility of extended altcoin strength versus Bitcoin.

Chart commentary shared by analyst Moustache on X shows the ratio piercing a major resistance cluster. Historically, the ratio hit highs near $1.20 in early 2022 before sliding to roughly $0.30 by mid-2024. The recent breach marks the first sustained weekly close above that bearish slope.

Source: Moustache

How did technical structure confirm the breakout?

The chart shows two prominent rejection peaks in 2022 and 2024 that reinforced Bitcoin dominance. A long-term trendline tracked lower highs until 2025.

The decisive factor was multiple weekly closes above that trendline combined with surge in trading participation. Rising volume on the breakout reduces the odds of a false move and supports the case that $0.48–$0.50 is now support.

Why does volume matter here?

Volume validates market conviction. The recent breakout featured elevated participation that mirrors both the prior bearish sell-offs and the latest advance. That symmetry strengthens the interpretation that buyers are committed rather than opportunistic.

What are analysts saying about the altcoin cycle?

Market commentators, including Michaël van de Poppe (X), framed the breakout as the beginning phase of a larger altcoin cycle rather than its end. Analysts reference historical cycle phases—comparing current structure to earlier low-base periods that preceded past altcoin rallies.

Consensus view among these analysts: if price action and macro/business cycles align, altcoins can sustain outperformance against Bitcoin for months.

How should traders interpret this development?

Traders should look for (1) weekly close confirmation above the broken trendline, (2) retest of the $0.48–$0.50 zone holding as support, and (3) continued or increasing volume. Risk management remains essential given overall bearish sentiment and macro uncertainty.

Frequently Asked Questions

Has the TOTAL3/BTC breakout ended the three-year altcoin decline?

Short-term evidence suggests the downtrend has been broken: weekly closes above the trendline and higher volume support the breakout. Long-term validation requires sustained price behavior and macro tailwinds.

What should traders look for next?

Traders should monitor weekly closes, a successful retest of $0.48–$0.50 as support, and continuing volume to confirm the shift from resistance to support.

Key Takeaways

• Confirmed breakout: TOTAL3/BTC closed weeks above a three-year trendline, signaling renewed relative strength.
• Support flip: The $0.48–$0.50 resistance now acts as a potential foundation for altcoin gains.
• Watchlist: Traders should prioritize weekly close confirmation, retest holds, and volume to validate the breakout.

Conclusion

The TOTAL3/BTC breakout marks a technical shift that could herald a sustained period of altcoin outperformance versus Bitcoin if key confirmations hold. Analysts cited in-chart commentary and cycle comparisons argue the market may be entering an early phase of a broader altcoin recovery. Stay disciplined with confirmation-based entries and risk controls as the market evolves.