Fed Rate Cut in December Almost Certain, IFR/Reuters Says Ahead of Key ADP and PMI Data

COINOTAG News, December 3 — Market participants are assessing the probability of a Fed rate cut in December, supported by a Reuters IFR briefing. The current market positioning indicates elevated odds of easing, shaping macro conditions that could influence crypto risk appetite and liquidity dynamics.

As traders await the upcoming ADP payroll data and PMI readings, analysts note that the releases may be uneven due to the government shutdown delaying some figures. The consensus expects ADP employment for November to rise around 10,000—far below October’s 42,000—highlighting a softer labor backdrop and policy sensitivity.

Against this backdrop, macro and digital asset markets may react to shifting expectations for a December rate cut with cautious volatility until data clarity emerges. Readers should maintain disciplined risk controls and monitor credible macro signals to gauge potential impacts on crypto valuations and liquidity.