Fed Rate Cut Outlook: CME FedWatch Shows 87.4% Odds of 25bp December Cut and 67.5% by January

COINOTAG News, December 1, citing CME FedWatch, outlines market-implied odds for the Federal Reserve‘s policy path. The December probability of a 25 basis point rate cut is 87.4%, while the odds of no change are 12.6%.

For the January outlook, the curve assigns a cumulative 25bp rate cut by next year at 67.5%, with odds of holding rates steady at 9.2% and a 50bp cumulative cut priced in at 23.2%.

This snapshot offers a concise view of rate-exchange dynamics and should be treated as market sentiment indicators rather than a formal policy forecast.