According to PolyBeats monitoring cited by COINOTAG News on December 9, activity in a crypto-style binary market tied to geopolitical events has emerged. The Pentagon Pizza Index, long viewed as a barometer of U.S. military action, has reactivated, signaling attention to crisis dynamics. Probabilities for the December 12 and 31 scenarios remain subdued, and no confirmed insider trading signals have been identified.

Two accounts displayed unusually concentrated bets on Venezuela-related outcomes. One operator deposited $6,000 and entered a single large Yes position, while another moved more than $40,000 across multiple time points, allocating the bulk of funds to Venezuela-linked predictions. The profiles relied on fiat deposits rather than routine on-chain activity, raising questions about market transparency and risk controls.

For readers and traders, the takeaway is to emphasize risk management and liquidity analysis in crypto prediction markets, especially when momentum centers on geopolitical events and overall probabilities remain below 30%.