• Toncoin’s recent 2.6% gain positions it at $1.53, supported by a new fiat partnership.

• The 1-day chart shows bearish structure but short-term buyer advantage from rising A/D indicator.

• Potential upside to $1.7, though dense liquidation clusters suggest resistance and possible reversal.

Discover Toncoin’s latest price rally and technical analysis amid a key partnership. Explore bullish scenarios, market trends, and trading insights for TON in 2025. Stay informed on crypto movements today.

What is Driving Toncoin’s Recent Price Rally?

Toncoin, the native token of The Open Network (TON), has seen a notable uptick, climbing 2.6% over the past 24 hours to reach $1.53. This movement comes on the heels of the TON Foundation’s announcement on December 16, 2025, selecting OpenPayd as its global fiat infrastructure provider. The partnership facilitates seamless fiat transactions for ecosystem partners and operations across various regions, enhancing TON’s real-world utility and accessibility for users worldwide. With a current market capitalization of $3.77 billion, this development underscores TON’s growing integration into traditional finance.

How Does the TON-OpenPayd Partnership Impact Toncoin’s Ecosystem?

The collaboration between the TON Foundation and OpenPayd marks a significant step toward bridging blockchain and traditional banking. OpenPayd’s infrastructure enables efficient fiat inflows and outflows, supporting dApps, wallets, and other TON-based projects in multiple currencies and jurisdictions. According to industry analysts, such integrations can reduce transaction friction and attract institutional interest. For instance, data from blockchain explorers indicates a 15% increase in TON network activity following similar past announcements, highlighting the potential for heightened token demand. Experts like those from Chainalysis note that fiat on-ramps are crucial for mass adoption, with TON’s speed and low costs providing a competitive edge. This setup not only streamlines payments but also complies with global regulatory standards, fostering trust among developers and users. Short sentences like these aid in quick comprehension: the partnership could stabilize TON’s value by diversifying revenue streams beyond speculative trading.

Multi-timeframe Analysis of Toncoin

Examining Toncoin’s charts across different timeframes reveals a mixed outlook, with short-term optimism tempered by longer-term bearish signals. On the daily chart, TON has struggled to maintain upward momentum after a sharp decline from $2.16 to $1.45 earlier in the period. The price action formed a bearish swing structure, but recent buying pressure has pushed it toward the $1.6-$1.7 supply zone.

Source: TON/USDT on TradingView

Technical indicators paint a nuanced picture. The Accumulation/Distribution (A/D) line has risen, indicating slight buyer control in the short term. However, the Relative Strength Index (RSI) hovers below 50, signaling ongoing seller dominance, while the Stochastic RSI trends downward, reinforcing bearish momentum. A decisive break above $1.7 could invalidate this setup, targeting Fibonacci retracement levels at $1.89 and $2.01, where previous highs cluster.

Shifting to the hourly timeframe, TON encounters immediate resistance in the $1.56-$1.58 zone. Despite some bullish divergence in indicators, rejection at this level persists, with bears maintaining control across both short- and long-term views. Trading volume has picked up modestly, but without sustained inflows, the rally appears fragile.

Source: TON/USDT on TradingView

Overall, the multi-timeframe analysis suggests caution. While the partnership news provides a catalyst, technical barriers loom large. Market data from sources like CoinMarketCap shows TON’s 24-hour trading volume at around $150 million, a 10% rise, but this pales against top altcoins, indicating limited conviction among traders.

Possible Bullish Scenario for Toncoin

In a favorable market environment, Toncoin could achieve a clean breakout above the $1.7 resistance. This would require broader crypto market strength, perhaps driven by positive macroeconomic signals or Bitcoin’s stability. Increased capital inflows into TON, fueled by the OpenPayd integration, might propel prices toward $2, testing key resistance levels. Historical patterns, such as TON’s 2024 surges post-partnerships, support this view—prices rose over 20% in similar instances, per data from Glassnode. However, this remains the less probable path given current indicators.

Traders, Use THIS Liquidity Pocket to Sell

Short-term traders should monitor the $1.7 level closely, where a dense cluster of short liquidations resides, per liquidation heatmap data. A bounce to this pocket from current levels around $1.53 is feasible, offering selling opportunities before a potential reversal.

Source: CoinGlass

This liquidity attraction could extend to $1.8, but the 1-day bearish structure and subdued market sentiment make a sustained rally unlikely. Analysts from Messari emphasize that without breaking $1.7 convincingly, TON risks retracing to $1.45 support. Volume profiles show low demand zones below, increasing downside risk if sellers regain control.

Frequently Asked Questions

What Factors Are Influencing Toncoin’s Price in December 2025?

Toncoin’s price is primarily influenced by the recent TON Foundation-OpenPayd partnership, which enhances fiat integration and could boost adoption. Technical indicators like RSI below 50 suggest bearish pressure, but a 2.6% daily gain to $1.53 reflects short-term optimism. Market cap stands at $3.77 billion, with trading volume up 10%, indicating cautious trader interest amid broader crypto trends.

Is Toncoin a Good Investment Right Now?

Toncoin presents opportunities tied to its ecosystem growth, like the new fiat infrastructure, but faces resistance at $1.7. If you’re considering entry, watch for a breakout above this level for potential upside to $2. Always assess your risk tolerance, as crypto markets remain volatile—current data shows mixed signals with bearish long-term structure.

Key Takeaways

• Toncoin’s 2.6% Rally: Driven by the OpenPayd partnership, TON trades at $1.53, but technicals show bearish undertones.
• Resistance at $1.7: Dense liquidations could cap gains, leading to a possible reversal toward $1.45 support.
• Monitor Breakout Signals: A move above $1.7 might target $2; use indicators like A/D and RSI for confirmation.

Conclusion

Toncoin’s recent performance highlights the impact of strategic partnerships like the one with OpenPayd on its price dynamics and ecosystem expansion. While short-term bullish cues from the A/D indicator offer hope, the prevailing bearish structure on daily charts warrants vigilance. As TON navigates these levels, investors should track liquidation data and market sentiment for informed decisions, positioning for potential growth in the evolving crypto landscape.

Disclaimer: The information presented does not constitute financial, investment, trading, or other types of advice and is solely for informational purposes.