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Crypto analyst Michaël van de Poppe offers a fresh perspective on the elusive altseason, emphasizing timing and value over hype in the evolving crypto market.
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Van de Poppe highlights that unlike previous cycles, the current market dynamics are shaped by macroeconomic shifts and institutional trends, making traditional four-year cycle theories less relevant.
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According to COINOTAG, van de Poppe advises investors to focus on accumulating undervalued altcoins during low sentiment periods rather than chasing the hype-driven peaks.
Michaël van de Poppe reveals why altseason timing is shifting, urging investors to prioritize value accumulation amid changing macroeconomic and institutional factors.
Rethinking Altseason: Michaël van de Poppe’s Insight on Market Cycles and Timing
In a detailed analysis, Michaël van de Poppe challenges the conventional wisdom surrounding altseason, the period when alternative cryptocurrencies typically outperform Bitcoin. He stresses that the best gains are often missed by those who enter during the hype phase, as the true opportunity arises before “altseason” becomes a trending topic. Van de Poppe traces the last genuine altseason to 2017, noting that the anticipated repeats in 2021 and 2025 failed to materialize. This divergence, he argues, stems from a unique market cycle influenced by prolonged bearish trends and speculative memecoin activity in 2024, which have collectively suppressed altcoin momentum and investor enthusiasm.
Macroeconomic Influences and Institutional Shifts Reshape Crypto Dynamics
Van de Poppe highlights that the current cycle is fundamentally different due to evolving macroeconomic conditions and institutional participation. Central bank policies, global monetary adjustments, and rising interest in decentralized finance (DeFi) are reshaping the crypto landscape. He points out intriguing correlations, such as Ethereum’s price movements aligning with the Chinese Renminbi’s strength against the U.S. dollar, signaling deeper economic interdependencies. These factors challenge the traditional four-year cycle theory, suggesting that investors must adapt to a market where external economic forces and institutional strategies play a pivotal role.
Investor Sentiment and the Real Meaning of Altseason
Van de Poppe identifies two prevailing investor mindsets: one anticipating continued bear markets and another expecting an imminent bull run. He cautions that both perspectives might miss the mark. Instead, he proposes that the true altseason is defined not by timing or hype but by the ability to accumulate high-quality, undervalued altcoins during periods of low market sentiment. This approach requires patience and a contrarian mindset, as the most rewarding investment opportunities often arise when market sentiment is at its lowest and discomfort is highest.
Bitcoin’s Role and Future Outlook in the Current Cycle
Bitcoin’s recent surge past $100,000, achieved despite a high interest-rate environment, underscores the uniqueness of this cycle. Van de Poppe suggests that this milestone signals a shift away from old market models. He anticipates that when interest rates eventually decline, the crypto market—including altcoins—could experience even more pronounced upward movements. This outlook encourages investors to maintain a long-term perspective, focusing on fundamental value rather than short-term market timing.
Conclusion
Michaël van de Poppe’s analysis offers a nuanced understanding of altseason, urging investors to look beyond traditional cycles and hype-driven narratives. By focusing on value accumulation during periods of low sentiment and recognizing the impact of macroeconomic and institutional factors, investors can better position themselves for future gains. This approach emphasizes discipline and strategic patience, highlighting that the next altseason may not resemble those of the past but could offer substantial opportunities for those prepared to act thoughtfully.
