Ethereum Shows Patterns Similar to 2016–2017 Cycle Amid Whale Accumulation and Low Exchange Supply

  • Ethereum is exhibiting a bullish market structure reminiscent of its 2016–2017 cycle, trading above $2,450 with strong whale accumulation and declining exchange supply.

  • Significant on-chain activity reveals whales acquiring nearly $10 million in ETH, while exchange balances hit multi-year lows, reducing potential sell pressure.

  • According to COINOTAG sources, Ethereum’s RSI is rising above key moving averages, signaling early momentum and the potential for substantial upside.

Ethereum’s price action above $2,450, combined with whale accumulation and low exchange supply, signals a bullish pattern echoing its historic 2016–2017 rally.

Ethereum’s Technical Chart Mirrors Historic Bull Market Pattern, Indicating Strong Upside Potential

Ethereum’s current price movement closely resembles the breakout pattern observed during the 2016–2017 bull market. Market analyst Merlijn The Trader highlights that Ethereum has established a long-term consolidation phase characterized by rising volume and sustained support above the 200-week moving average. This technical setup historically preceded a dramatic price surge, with Ethereum climbing from $10 to over $1,000 during that cycle. Today, ETH is trading at $2,453.13, maintaining a position above critical moving averages, which reinforces the bullish outlook. The Relative Strength Index (RSI) on higher timeframes is also trending upward from neutral levels, suggesting that momentum is building in the early stages of this cycle. Despite a decrease in trading volume, the price resilience indicates strong underlying demand and a robust market structure.

Whale Accumulation and Declining Exchange Balances Bolster Ethereum’s Bullish Case

On-chain metrics reveal that large holders, or whales, are actively accumulating Ethereum, a key indicator of confidence in the asset’s near-term prospects. Data from Lookonchain shows that entities such as SharpLink Gaming and wallet 0x1fc7 have collectively purchased close to $10 million worth of ETH within a short timeframe. This accumulation coincides with a significant drop in ETH balances on exchanges, as confirmed by Glassnode analytics. Lower exchange supply typically reduces selling pressure, creating a favorable environment for price appreciation. Crypto analyst Ted points out that Ethereum’s historical cycles often involve retesting critical support levels before launching into major expansions, with the 2021 cycle delivering gains of up to 50x. Supporting this view, Crypto Gems notes that Ethereum’s current structure is nearly identical to 2017’s, forecasting a potential breakthrough above $5,000 in the near future.

Market Sentiment and Future Outlook for Ethereum Investors

The convergence of technical indicators, whale activity, and reduced exchange supply is fostering a positive market sentiment around Ethereum. Investors are encouraged to monitor key support levels and volume trends as the asset navigates this critical phase. The sustained accumulation by large holders suggests confidence in Ethereum’s long-term value proposition, underpinned by broader adoption and network upgrades. While volatility remains inherent in crypto markets, the current structural signals point toward a sustained upward trajectory. Traders and investors should consider these factors when assessing entry points and risk management strategies.

Conclusion

Ethereum’s price action above $2,450, combined with whale accumulation and historically significant technical patterns, underscores a bullish market environment. The declining exchange supply reduces selling pressure, while rising RSI and support above the 200-week moving average indicate strengthening momentum. These factors collectively suggest that Ethereum is positioned for potential substantial gains, echoing its previous bull market cycles. Investors should remain attentive to on-chain data and technical signals to capitalize on emerging opportunities within this evolving market landscape.

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