CryptoQuant analyst AXEL Adler Jr highlights a recurring pattern in the 30-day percentile funding rate across major trading platforms, identifying key market bottoms in September 2023, May 2024, September 2024, and April 2025. Each instance marked a pivotal local bottom followed by a sustained recovery and upward momentum. Following the April 2025 trough and a subsequent surge to $112,000, the current funding rate percentile stands at 54%, signaling continued bullish momentum in the crypto market.
This historical trend suggests that the market is approaching a critical threshold near the 80% funding rate percentile. Crossing this level could reflect heightened market exuberance, potentially increasing the risk of a corrective phase. Investors and traders should monitor these metrics closely to gauge market sentiment and adjust their strategies accordingly, ensuring they remain aligned with evolving market dynamics and risk parameters.