XRP Could Slide Toward $2.6–$2.4 if $2.74 Support Breaks as Taker CVD Weakness Persists

• XRP could correct to $2.6–$2.4 if $2.74 support breaks

• Spot and futures taker CVD have been negative since late July, signaling sell-side dominance.

• MFI, volume, and 12-hour structure align with a bearish near-term outlook; ELR suggests limited liquidation risk.

XRP price outlook: bearish bias if $2.74 breaks; watch taker CVD, OI and ELR for reversal signals — read now.

What is the current XRP price outlook?

XRP price outlook is cautiously bearish while $2.74 holds as critical support. If $2.74 breaks, expect corrective pressure toward $2.6 and $2.4 as spot and futures taker CVD readings show sell-side dominance and volume trends confirm weakening demand.

Why are taker CVD and OI important for XRP’s near-term direction?

Negative taker CVD in both spot and futures indicates more market aggression from taker sellers than buyers. Coin metrics from CryptoQuant and Open Interest (Coinalyze data) show shrinking participation and reduced speculator conviction, reinforcing downside risk unless these indicators reverse.

Source: XRP/USDT on TradingView (chart shows August low at $2.74). A sustained break below this level would open a path to $2.6 and $2.4, as MFI and 12-hour structural levels are deteriorating.

How does spot and futures taker CVD affect trader positioning?

Spot taker CVD (90-day delta) turned negative since late July, signaling persistent taker-sell pressure. In futures, the taker CVD shows a similar trend, indicating speculators are not initiating fresh long exposure. This alignment typically precedes corrective price moves unless reversed by a surge in buying volume.

Source: CryptoQuant. The negative CVD trend coincided with the establishment of $3.4 as short-term resistance.

Source: CryptoQuant. Futures OI has trended down since late July, per Coinalyze data, suggesting reduced speculative risk appetite.

What does the Estimated Leverage Ratio (ELR) imply for risk?

The falling ELR indicates lower market leverage and reduces the probability of a large liquidation cascade. This moderates systemic risk but does not negate directional pressure; price can still correct slowly without triggering mass liquidations.

Source: CryptoQuant. ELR falling implies lower forced-deleveraging risk but does not replace the need to monitor support and liquidity levels.

Frequently Asked Questions

Could XRP correct to $2.6–$2.4 and what would confirm it?

Yes. A decisive close below $2.74 on increased volume and continued negative taker CVD across spot and futures would confirm a move toward $2.6 and $2.4. Monitor OI and MFI for confirmation.

How should traders manage risk during this phase?

Use tight stop management near support levels, avoid high leverage while OI is shrinking, and size positions to withstand a measured correction. ELR suggests lower systemic liquidation risk but not immunity to losses.

Key Takeaways

• Support to watch: $2.74 is critical; a break targets $2.6 and $2.4.
• Market structure: Spot and futures taker CVD negative since late July indicates sell-side dominance.
• Risk profile: ELR falling lowers liquidation risk, but fading OI and volume increase downside probability; wait for CVD and OI reversal to consider bullish exposure.

Conclusion

In summary, the XRP price outlook is biased bearish while key metrics — taker CVD, OI and MFI — remain unfavorable. Traders should respect $2.74 as the near-term line in the sand and monitor CryptoQuant, Coinalyze and TradingView datasets as plain-text references for evidence. COINOTAG will update this outlook should taker CVD or Open Interest show a clear, sustained reversal.