AVAX Could Extend Rally as DeFi TVL Tops $2 Billion and $36 Breakout May Open Path to $44

  • DeFi TVL above $2B signals renewed ecosystem demand

  • Exchange netflows show consistent outflows, reducing sell pressure

  • Spot volume and MACD bullish crossover support near-term upside potential

Avalanche price shows bullish momentum as DeFi TVL exceeds $2B; assess $36 resistance and accumulation signals—read on for levels, data, and expert-backed analysis.

What is the current Avalanche (AVAX) breakout outlook?

Avalanche price is positioned for a potential breakout as DeFi TVL surpasses $2 billion and technicals show upward momentum. Buyers have established higher support since June, while exchange outflows and rising spot volume point to growing accumulation and reduced sell-side pressure.

How strong is Avalanche’s on-chain and DeFi growth?

AVAX’s DeFi Total Value Locked (TVL) has doubled since spring and recently passed the $2 billion mark, the highest level in two years. This growth highlights stronger capital commitment into Avalanche protocols and improved network participation, supporting price discovery and liquidity depth.

Can Avalanche break past the $36 barrier?

AVAX breakout momentum is testing critical resistance near $36.12 after establishing higher support around $26.81, confirming an ascending trendline that began in June. A sustained close above $36 would increase the probability of a move toward $44.23; failure could trigger a short-term retracement.

What technical indicators support the breakout scenario?

Key technical signals include a bullish MACD crossover and higher lows on the daily chart. Spot trading volumes are rising, and exchange netflows show persistent negative (outflow) patterns. Together, these indicators favor continuation, provided buyers defend the $36 support zone.


AVAXUSDT 2025 09 20 08 57 38

Source: TradingView

What does spot trading volume reveal about demand?

Spot volume dynamics show rising demand for AVAX, with volume bubble maps indicating larger clusters and increased participation. This suggests renewed interest from both retail and institutional traders after a consolidation phase, improving the depth needed for a sustained AVAX breakout.

Avalanche Spot Volume Bubble Map

Source: CryptoQuant

How are exchange netflows influencing AVAX supply dynamics?

Exchange netflow metrics show persistent negative flows, with recent daily outflows near $1 million. Such trends indicate accumulation as tokens leave exchanges for custody or staking, reducing immediate sell pressure and supporting the bullish case for Avalanche price appreciation.

Screenshot 2025 09 20 090021

Source: CoinGlass

Is AVAX ready to climb higher?

Avalanche shows aligned momentum across DeFi TVL, exchange outflows, and technical indicators. If buyers maintain control above the $36 resistance, the path to $44 becomes probable. Conversely, loss of $36 could prompt a corrective pullback before another attempt at breakout.

Frequently Asked Questions

What level confirms a bullish AVAX breakout?

Close and hold above $36.00 with rising volume confirms the breakout. Supporting signals include a bullish MACD crossover and consistent exchange outflows indicating accumulation.

How does DeFi TVL affect Avalanche price?

Higher DeFi TVL locks capital in the ecosystem, reducing token liquidity available for selling and strengthening network fundamentals. AVAX’s TVL surpassing $2 billion signals stronger protocol-level demand.

Key Takeaways

  • DeFi growth: TVL > $2B underpins stronger on-chain demand.
  • Technicals: Bullish MACD and higher supports favor upside above $36.
  • Action: Monitor $36 support and spot volume for validation before adding new positions.

Conclusion

Avalanche price is showing convergent bullish signals from DeFi TVL, spot volumes, and exchange netflows. If buyers sustain momentum above $36, an AVAX breakout toward $44 is a realistic near-term target. Track volume and netflow metrics for confirmation and manage risk at key support levels.


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