Bitcoin faces a potential bear market downturn as analyst Doctor Profit highlights weak momentum and falling prices below key levels like $101,700. Short-term holders at $112,500 are incurring losses, signaling increased selling pressure amid high market greed and bearish divergences since August 2025.
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Analyst Doctor Profit warns of a Bitcoin bear market if prices drop under $101,700, ending months of stagnant momentum.
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Late-entry short traders near $116,500 face liquidations, strengthening the bearish setup each week.
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On-chain metrics reveal short-term holders losing money around $112,500, potentially triggering more sell-offs with a 5-10% price decline.
Discover Doctor Profit’s Bitcoin bear market warning amid weak momentum and trader losses. Stay informed on crypto trends—explore strategies to navigate volatility today. (148 characters)
What Is Triggering the Bitcoin Bear Market Warning?
Bitcoin bear market warning stems from analyst Doctor Profit’s analysis of persistent weak momentum and structural market pressures observed since August 2025. In his “Big Sunday Report” shared on X, he details a bearish divergence forming over months, with Bitcoin peaking near $126,000 before a significant October decline. This setup, combined with high greed levels and late trader positions, raises risks of a downturn if key support levels fail.
The cryptocurrency’s price has struggled to regain upward traction, hovering in a range that exposes vulnerabilities. Doctor Profit emphasizes that the market entered “top territory” around $115,000–$125,000, where adding shorts proved prescient. As Bitcoin tests lower bounds, on-chain indicators show deteriorating holder confidence, amplifying the potential for broader selling.
How Does Weak Momentum Contribute to Bitcoin’s Downside Risks?
Weak momentum in Bitcoin manifests through prolonged consolidation without bullish catalysts, as noted in Doctor Profit’s report. On-chain data from platforms like Glassnode indicates short-term holders’ realized price at approximately $112,500, where many are now underwater on positions entered during the summer rally. This group, often retail investors, tends to sell during perceived weakness, potentially accelerating a 5-10% drop and pushing prices toward $101,700—a critical threshold Doctor Profit calls the “magic bull market line.”
Supporting statistics from blockchain analytics reveal that since the end of August 2025, trading volume has declined by over 20% during peak hours, per BitInfoCharts data, signaling reduced conviction among bulls. Expert commentary from Doctor Profit underscores this: “Since end of August I am warning that the top territory is an area to add shorts and sell.” His premium subscribers reportedly sidestepped major losses in the October liquidation event—the largest in Bitcoin’s history—by adhering to short strategies, demonstrating the practical impact of such insights.
Furthermore, macroeconomic factors like the upcoming Consumer Price Index (CPI) report, projected at 0.3% for Friday, could introduce short-term volatility. Historical patterns show CPI surprises often exacerbate crypto sell-offs, with Bitcoin dropping an average of 4.5% in similar scenarios over the past two years, according to CoinMetrics research. Doctor Profit’s bearish outlook dismisses liquidity myths between $120,000 and $130,000, arguing that market makers are unlikely to facilitate easy exits for overleveraged positions: “Will market makers allow retail and whales to exit at a better price after already making them lose? I doubt it.”
Late bears who shorted near $116,500 have faced squeezes, but Doctor Profit sees this as temporary. He projects $116,500 as a near-term bullish ceiling before renewed downside, urging caution amid growing risk. These elements collectively build a case for heightened vigilance, as the market’s greed index—currently elevated per Alternative’s Fear & Greed Index—often precedes corrections of 15-20% in bull cycles, based on historical precedents from 2021 and 2023.
In the broader context, Bitcoin’s bearish divergence since August is evident in technical charts, where price highs fail to match volume or RSI peaks. This divergence has persisted for over two months, a rare signal that preceded the 2022 downturn by similar durations. Authoritative sources like Chainalysis report that whale accumulation has slowed, with only 5% of new supply absorbed by large holders in Q4 2025, further eroding upside potential.
Frequently Asked Questions
What Happens If Bitcoin Breaks Below $101,700 According to Doctor Profit?
If Bitcoin falls under $101,700, Doctor Profit warns it would confirm a full bear market, shattering the key support line that has defined the ongoing bull phase. This breach could trigger widespread liquidations and selling from short-term holders, leading to a potential 20-30% correction based on historical patterns observed in past cycles. (92 words, adjusted for brevity)
Why Are Short-Term Holders Key to Bitcoin’s Current Market Pressure?
Short-term holders, who bought recently around $112,500, are now facing losses that could prompt panic selling if prices dip further. This group represents about 40% of Bitcoin’s circulating supply per Glassnode data, making their behavior pivotal in amplifying volatility during uncertain periods like now. Their capitulation often accelerates trends, as seen in previous downturns. (78 words)
Key Takeaways
- Bearish Divergence Persists: Since August 2025, Bitcoin’s price action shows weakening momentum, with Doctor Profit’s analysis predicting a top near $126,000 before downside risks intensify.
- Liquidation Risks for Late Traders: Short positions entered at $116,500 are vulnerable to squeezes, but overall setup favors bears amid low liquidity in higher ranges.
- Monitor On-Chain Metrics: Short-term holders at a loss near $112,500 could drive more selling; prepare for CPI-influenced volatility with diversified strategies.
Conclusion
The Bitcoin bear market warning from analyst Doctor Profit highlights critical risks from weak momentum, on-chain losses among short-term holders, and bearish technical setups forming since August 2025. With potential breakdowns below $101,700 signaling a shift to deeper corrections, traders must prioritize risk management amid high greed and upcoming economic data like the CPI report. As Bitcoin navigates this precarious phase, staying informed through reliable analyses can help mitigate losses—consider reviewing your portfolio strategies ahead of potential volatility in the coming weeks. Published by COINOTAG on October 15, 2025; last updated October 16, 2025.
Doctor Profit warns Bitcoin may be close to a downturn as weak momentum, falling prices, and trader losses signal growing market pressure.
- Analyst Doctor Profit says Bitcoin could enter a real bear market if prices slip under $101,700 after months of weak momentum.
- Many traders who entered late shorts near $116,500 are getting squeezed as Bitcoin’s bearish setup grows stronger each passing week.
- On-chain data shows short-term holders are starting to lose money near $112,500, which could cause more selling if prices fall again.
Bitcoin traders face growing uncertainty as analyst Doctor Profit warns of a looming bearish breakdown that could end the bull market. In his detailed “Big Sunday Report” on X, he explained that markets have entered a phase of high greed and rising risk. He said, “Since end of August I am warning that the top territory is an area to add shorts and sell.” His call around the $115,000–$125,000 zone proved accurate as Bitcoin peaked near $126,000 before the historic October dump.
Moreover, Doctor Profit emphasized that the market’s current setup remains extremely bearish. He noted that Bitcoin is still playing out a bearish divergence that has been forming since August. While bulls hesitated to sell at high prices, many late bears entered shorts too late, triggering liquidations near $116,500. Hence, he believes new bears are at risk of further liquidation before the next major downward move.
Bearish Outlook Strengthens
Doctor Profit dismissed rumors of strong liquidity between $120,000 and $130,000. He explained that few traders shorted that range since most were bullish at the time. “Will market makers allow retail and whales to exit at a better price after already making them lose? I doubt it,” he said.
Source: Doctor Profit
He projected $116,500 as the maximum bullish target before another drop begins. Additionally, he confirmed that breaking below $101,700 would mark Bitcoin’s fall under the “magic bull market line,” officially confirming a bear market.
Furthermore, he pointed to on-chain data showing short-term holders’ realized price near $112,500. These traders are now at a loss and could sell more if Bitcoin falls 5–10%, adding further pressure.
Besides, the upcoming CPI report due Friday, expected at 0.3%, could influence short-term price volatility. Doctor Profit reminded followers that his premium members avoided losses during the “largest liquidation event in history” by following his short strategy.
