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COINOTAG News highlights a social post by David Grider, Partner at Finality Capital Partners and former Head of Research at Grayscale, noting that gold has outperformed Bitcoin in 2025. The observation echoes two prior bear cycles in 2018 and 2022, when crypto markets endured liquidity stress. Market participants continue to monitor the macro backdrop, as Bitcoin often tracks shifts in global liquidity and risk appetite.
CrossBorder Capital’s framework points to a nuanced gold–Bitcoin relationship: near-term correlations can turn negative, while the longer horizon remains positively linked. Their modeling suggests a transmission lag of about 8-9 weeks for a move in gold to register in Bitcoin. The implication for traders is to track liquidity cycles and macro shocks that drive both assets.
From a risk-adjusted perspective, a Bitcoin catch-up rally driven by liquidity could offer compelling prospects in certain regimes, but timing remains critical. Absent renewed liquidity support, the evolving gold–Bitcoin correlation may diverge as geopolitical risk appetite shifts, echoing the stress observed at the start of 2022 during the Russia-Ukraine episode.
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