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Ethereum

Santiment: Ethereum (ETH) Sentiment Ratio Falls to 0.89, Lowest Since June 7

Ethereum (ETH) sentiment fell to 0.89, the lowest since June 7, per Santiment data, while the price holds near $2,718 and network usage strengthens.

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October 2, 2026, 11:28 AM UTC4 min read
AI SummaryAI
  • Santiment measured Ethereum's bullish-to-bearish comment ratio at 0.89 on October 2, its lowest since June 7.
  • XRP's sentiment ratio dropped to 0.67, its weakest reading since August 17.
  • Ethereum mean base gas fees jumped 193% week over week.
  • Ethereum's staking rate climbed from 35.53% to 35.92% over 14 days.
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Bullish Chatter Fades Across Social Platforms

Crowd sentiment toward Ethereum (ETH) turned negative as October opened, with bearish comments outnumbering bullish ones across the major social platforms for the first time since early June. Analytics firm Santiment tracks the ratio of bullish to bearish commentary on X, Telegram, Reddit and other venues, and any reading below 1.0 means negative posts hold the majority. Ethereum's ratio slid to 0.89, its weakest print since June 7, while XRP fell further to 0.67, a level last seen on August 17. The full readings are laid out in Santiment's sentiment chart on X. Bitcoin (BTC) sits at a positive 1.37 on the same measure, so the pessimism concentrates on the two altcoins. The Ethereum price itself barely moved through the shift, trading near $2,718 and up roughly 1% over 24 hours, a gap between a steady tape and a souring mood that traders flagged within hours. For XRP the drop lands after a strong quarter: July, August and September each closed positive for the first time, lifting the token more than 43%.

Santiment Frames the Drop as a Contrarian Signal

Santiment treats the slide as a potential contrarian setup rather than a fresh sell signal. “Heavy pessimism can create a useful contrarian setup,” the firm wrote, arguing that when traders become convinced prices are heading lower, much of the panic selling may already have happened. The arithmetic behind the headline number is straightforward: a 0.89 ratio for Ethereum (ETH) means roughly 89 bullish comments for every 100 bearish ones, and XRP's 0.67 means 67 per 100. Santiment was explicit that the low readings do not guarantee an immediate bounce for either token. The sour mood greets a month traders often nickname Uptober, a seasonal label for October's historically favorable tape, which sharpens the mismatch with actual price behavior. The firm also pointed to past episodes, noting that stretches in which investors abandon upside expectations and feel fear have at times offered relatively better entry conditions than phases when the entire market chants buy the dip. Its closing note is the balance COINOTAG would flag as well: fear is rebuilding, yet some underlying base signals remain healthy, a divergence contrarian traders wait through patiently rather than trade in a single session.

Network Usage Strengthens While ETF Flows Stay Red

Fundamental data pulls in a different direction from the chatter. On the Ethereum network, mean base gas fees jumped 193% week over week, and the staking rate climbed from 35.53% to 35.92% in 14 days, evidence of heavier usage and more supply locked in validator contracts. US buyer behavior looks more cautious: the Coinbase Premium Index, which gauges the price gap on US-regulated venues versus global markets, printed negative in each of the last 14 sessions, a pattern analysts read as institutions not driving the move. Spot exchange-traded fund (ETF) flows match that caution. Ethereum (ETH) ETFs logged three straight days of net outflows through October 1, totaling about $117.8 million, after seven consecutive inflow sessions worth roughly $850.7 million. Our own session-level tracking shows a $55.4 million net outflow on October 1 alone. XRP funds held up better, with no outflow recorded since September 18 and an added $4.07 million on October 1, though two of the last four sessions saw zero net flows.

Contrarian Setup Meets a Firm On-Chain Base

The three threads form one arc: positioning has turned more bearish than the tape or the network justify. The load-bearing primary record here is the published Santiment tally, a daily count of bull versus bear posts, and it states plainly that bears outnumber bulls 100 to 89 for ETH and 100 to 67 for XRP. Set against a steady price near $2,718, a 193% jump in fees and a rising staking rate, COINOTAG's read is that crowd sentiment has overshot fundamentals. With the crowd tilting toward a bear market view, the contrarian case now has data behind it, though Santiment's own caveat, no guaranteed bounce, still stands.

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Primary sources

COINOTAG's editorial and research desk.

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AI-generated, AI-reviewed, under COINOTAG editorial oversight.