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Frank Holmes Sees $100 Trillion of Money Printing Favoring Bitcoin (BTC)

HIVE's Frank Holmes forecasts $100 trillion of future money printing and argues the expansion favors Bitcoin (BTC) and gold over fiat.

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October 1, 2026, 10:13 PM UTC4 min read
AI SummaryAI
  • Holmes put the current global money supply near $350 trillion.
  • He cited about $19 billion in positions liquidated across Binance in the last major flush.
  • The Covid response added roughly $40 trillion of new money, in Holmes's account.
  • HIVE repurposed GPUs that once mined Ethereum into AI compute workloads.
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Holmes's $100 Trillion Print Thesis

Bitcoin (BTC) and gold sit on the winning side of about $100 trillion in future government money creation, Frank Holmes, executive chairman of HIVE Digital Technologies, argued in an interview published on Thursday, October 1. The figure is not a price target. It is his estimate of how much new money governments will add as public debt keeps compounding, set against a global money supply he placed near $350 trillion. Holmes built his career as a gold investor before steering HIVE out of gold exploration and into crypto mining, and the same hard-asset logic now runs through both halves of his work. He traced the demand shift in stages: institutional access through the crypto ETF market moved the asset from what he called the “fear trade” to the “love trade,” replacing buyers who hedged currency debasement with funds that accumulate on schedule, a shift he credited to spot products that give allocators exposure without custody friction. Adoption, he added, keeps spreading among younger investors who grew up gaming and among a rising class of quants. As evidence of how the leveraged side behaves, he pointed to the roughly $19 billion in positions wiped out across Binance during the market's last major flush, a cascade that ran through crypto futures while the money supply itself never stopped growing. His conclusion from that contrast is blunt: single-session liquidations are noise next to a $350 trillion base that keeps expanding, and every additional unit of fiat supply strengthens the case for assets with fixed issuance. Bitcoin price action, in his reading, follows that monetary expansion more closely than day-to-day volatility, which is why the $100 trillion figure anchors his outlook rather than serving as a passing headline. Holmes publishes the running version of this thesis in his weekly Investor Alert newsletter, where the printing forecast has become the recurring frame.

HIVE's “Tier One” Data Center Pitch

Much of the interview turns on what HIVE itself controls. Holmes described Bitcoin mining sites as “tier one” data centers because they already hold the three inputs AI compute buildouts struggle to secure: power, land, and grid substations. HIVE's own history is his exhibit. The company's GPUs, which once ran Ethereum mining before that network left proof of work behind, were repurposed into AI workloads, a pivot that moved HIVE beyond pure ASIC mining economics and into selling compute directly. He expects the next wave of what he calls “AI factories” to rise on exactly this footprint, from Paraguay to Canada, where HIVE is positioning sites around the country's AI push. For HIVE, the pitch is that sites energized for mining can host AI hardware with far shorter lead times than greenfield builds. The Paraguay leg carries a regulatory detail: he described engagement with the country's central bank over crypto mining as an export industry, an argument that treats cheap hydro power as a national resource rather than a grid nuisance. For readers looking at the Canadian side of the market, our guide to Buying Bitcoin in Canada walks through the local practicalities. On the macro leg, he grouped China's mining footprint and its reported $1.4 trillion of lending with the steady accumulation of gold by central banks, reading both as preparation for a world of weaker fiat confidence. Modern monetary theory, the school that treats sovereign spending as unconstrained by tax revenue, entered his argument as a risk: the Covid response added roughly $40 trillion of new money, and he warned that emergency settings become standing policy once the political system adjusts to them. Compute, in his framing, is becoming a commodity, and the power advantage miners already hold is the tollbooth on that trade.

Measuring $100 Trillion Against $350 Trillion

COINOTAG's read is that the load-bearing source here is HIVE's own executive chairman speaking on the record, which makes the $100 trillion figure a company-level investment thesis rather than market consensus. The number gains shape from the baseline he supplied: against roughly $350 trillion outstanding, $100 trillion of new money would expand the global base by close to 29%. Comparable forecasts keep arriving, among them Coinbase Asset Management's $300,000 target for 2030 and the case that Bitcoin reshaping $4T private equity flows could widen the asset's institutional reach. What decides the next leg is the actual path of monetary aggregates, and the printed record is where to check Holmes's assumption.

Readers tracking the market in real time can follow live spot and futures prices on Bitget.

COINOTAG's editorial and research desk.

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