COINOTAG News, December 24 — In a Bitcoin cycle analysis by analyst @alicharts, the behavior across major phases shows a historically consistent rhythm of duration and depth. The data indicate an average 1,064 days from a market trough to the next peak, followed by roughly 364 days from peak to the next low, a cadence informing the crypto market outlook and risk models.

Applying the framework to the present cycle, the analyst suggests Bitcoin may be navigating a 364-day adjustment window, rather than a swift reversal. In this scenario, a potential bottom could emerge around October 2026 with an implied price near $37,500, contingent on sustained macro conditions and on-chain signals aligning with historical patterns.

Readers should view this as a pattern-based scenario rather than a guaranteed outcome. The takeaway for investors is to monitor corroborating signals from on-chain metrics, liquidity flows, and macro data, maintaining disciplined risk controls while awaiting confirmation if the cadence persists.