XRP (XRP) Rebounds to $1.39 After Liquidation Imbalance Tops 10,535%

XRP's hourly liquidation imbalance topped 10,535% after a dip to $1.38. Price rebounded to $1.3948; COINOTAG rates the $1.4145 resistance at 85/100.

(06:52 PM UTC)
3 min read
AI SummaryAI
  • XRP's hourly liquidation imbalance briefly exceeded 10,535% during the Labor Day session.
  • XRP fell from $1.4150 to about $1.38 before rebounding to $1.3948.
  • KuCoin and Gate open interest fell 5.16% and 4.07% respectively during the flush.
  • MEXC daily trading volume jumped 118.32% as traders bought the dip.
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Liquidation Imbalance Tops 10,535% in a Single Hour

XRP (XRP) was hit by an unusually violent long squeeze during Monday's Labor Day session, with the token's hourly liquidation imbalance briefly exceeding 10,535% — the volume of forcibly closed long positions outnumbered short sellers' realized losses by more than a hundredfold. The XRP order book slid from an intraday high of $1.4150 to roughly $1.38 within hours as cascading margin calls swept through leveraged accounts. Data from the CoinGlass liquidation tracker shows the damage was concentrated in XRP derivatives rather than a market-wide event: daily forced closures totaled $10.72 million in Bitcoin and $4.55 million in Solana, while the rest of the altcoin market saw nothing comparable to XRP's extreme hourly skew.

The trigger, in our reading of the positioning data, was overcrowded long exposure stacked just below the Short Max Pain level at $1.4368 — the price zone where short positions face maximum pressure. Traders positioned for an inevitable breakout above that barrier built a dense cluster of stops that proved fragile under even modest downside pressure. Once the first stops fired, the cascade fed on itself, pushing price toward the deepest liquidity pockets and turning the prior support and resistance shelves into air pockets.

MEXC Volume Jumps 118% as Venues Diverge

Exchanges told two very different stories as the cascade played out. KuCoin and Gate recorded net capital outflows, with open interest falling 5.16% and 4.07% respectively — positions unwound, not re-established. MEXC and Bybit, by contrast, became the epicenters of the counter-trade: daily trading volume on MEXC surged 118.32% as traders aggressively bought the dip while the liquidation wave was still running, the kind of opportunity our Where & How To Buy XRP guide is built for.

That dip-buying impulse lifted the price back to $1.3892 shortly after the low, and short-term indicators exited critically oversold territory, printing a local reversal structure. The pending-liquidation map still skews asymmetrically: the market sat just 3.94% below the Short Max Pain level at $1.4368, where $9.20 million of bearish positions face forced closure, while the Long Max Pain level at $0.9837 — 28.83% below market — holds $24.29 million in potential long liquidations. That imbalance supports the view that Monday's flush was a local shakeout rather than a trend break, and XRP's August breakout structure remains intact above the higher-timeframe cluster. Supply-side mechanics have stayed orderly as well — Ripple re-locked 700 million XRP hours after its latest escrow unlock, keeping new circulating pressure contained. Readers tracking the market in real time can follow live spot and futures prices on MEXC.

$1.4145 Resistance Is the Line to Hold

COINOTAG's proprietary 42-indicator composite S/R scoring engine rates the $1.4145 resistance at 85/100, driven by the confluence of a low-volume node, the Fibonacci 0.382 retracement, the Bollinger Band middle and the 20-day SMA — sitting right above the $1.4010 intraday barrier dip buyers must clear. Downside, the $1.3611 support scores a stronger 87/100 via Flip R→S, Fibo 0.500 and the Ichimoku Kijun. At press time XRP trades at $1.3948, down 1.27% over 24 hours. Positioning across perpetual futures and crypto options is mixed: funding at -0.0029% and open interest near $970 million sit against a 2.70 long/short account ratio, meaning retail longs still dominate. Reclaiming $1.4145 opens the 59/100 level at $1.4713; losing $1.3611 exposes $1.3098. With RSI at 58.40 and the Fear & Greed Index at 71 — firm bull market territory — the base case is sideways consolidation between those two lines.

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