XRP Slips Near $1.20 as Ripple Backs Flutterwave, XRPL Draws $1.9B in RWA Inflows

XRP News

XRP’s near-term direction has once again become pinned to resistance at $1.21. After a downside break of its triangular wedge, the tug-of-war between buyers and sellers sharpened around $1.20, and the token struggled to hold the $1.18 area as this report was written. On the 30-minute chart, a strong candle close above $1.21 stands out as the single trigger that could flip the short-term structure back in buyers’ favor. Fail to clear it, and $1.14 becomes the first downside target. Recent sharp wicks reaching down to $1.19 suggest that band is less a solid floor and more a liquidity pocket where leveraged positions and stop-loss orders are being hunted. Tightening candle bodies, meanwhile, may be signaling an imminent burst of volatility.

Zoomed out, XRP looks to have largely completed the roughly 14% upside target implied by its symmetric triangle. The altcoin rallied from $1.14 to $1.29 over the weekend before being rejected just below $1.30 and pulled back to $1.21 support. A 44% drop in daily trading volume points to fading conviction behind the move. On-chain data shows the seven-day average of exchange net-position change has turned increasingly negative over the past three weeks, a sign that tokens are migrating from exchanges into personal wallets. Even so, a similar accumulation wave back in February failed to produce a durable rally, a reminder that this signal alone is no guarantee of direction.

On the medium-term view, the recovery attempt was rejected near the 20-day exponential moving average. While XRP managed to reclaim the $1.20 zone from local lows around $1.05, it has been unable to clear the cluster of resistance that has capped every advance since May. Short term, $1.22 is the first level to watch, while the $1.30–$1.35 range has now hardened into a firm resistance band. To the downside, the defense of the psychologically important $1.00 mark and rising volume during the bounce suggest buyers have not fully stepped aside. If the recovery stalls, $1.10 and then $1.00 could come back into focus; losing those levels would clearly weaken the medium-term outlook.

Order flow still paints a cautious picture. Cumulative Volume Delta measured at minus 4.56 million XRP, indicating that sell orders continue to outweigh buy orders. With the 30-day price-CVD correlation sitting at 0.81, recent moves appear driven directly by supply-demand balance rather than thin liquidity. Momentum, however, is partly mending: the Relative Strength Index has climbed from oversold territory below 30 to 44.7. Price slipped roughly 2.84% over the past 24 hours, even though it had gained 7.78% on a seven-day basis. A flip of CVD into positive territory would offer firmer confirmation that buyer interest is strengthening.

Longer-term scenarios are far more ambitious. Some analysts frame XRP through a large multi-cycle triangle and argue the current squeeze could foreshadow a move resembling past expansion waves. Previous rallies of roughly 8,000% and 1,900% are cited, with a roughly 909% expansion now said to be on the table; within that framework, $6.50 and $13 are floated as macro targets, and $60 in a more extreme case. On top of that, more than $1.8 billion in XRP accumulated in the over-the-counter (OTC) market signals that institutional players are maintaining their interest, though the impact of those purchases on the spot price may stay limited in the short run.

On the Ripple side, a technology-focused move stands out. RippleX has accelerated early preparations against the security risk that quantum computers could pose to the XRP Ledger; work by an AI research team suggests new algorithms could break classical digital signatures as early as 2029. Developers are therefore integrating hybrid signature schemes into the blockchain network; the network keeps running as usual but can switch instantly to post-quantum cryptography if an attack is detected. Project 11 audits are scanning for vulnerabilities. In parallel, the XRPL is being moved toward an infrastructure where AI agents can make autonomous payments without human intervention through their own AI Crypto Wallet, while a KYA model aims to track the identity and reputation of those agents.

According to COINOTAG’s proprietary 42-indicator composite support/resistance scoring engine (as of 13:39 UTC), XRP’s strongest resistance sits at $1.2628 with a score of 72/100, drawing its weight from the confluence of the Fibonacci 0.382 level, Ichimoku Senkou B and the cloud ceiling. Just below, resistance at $1.1864 reaches 63/100 on a blend of the BB middle band, SMA 20 and R1. To the downside, support at $1.1126 is the most solid floor at 71/100, backed by the ATR and Keltner lower bands. In derivatives, a funding rate of minus 0.0005, $690 million in open interest and a long/short ratio of 3.25 weighted 76.5% toward longs point to an overly optimistic but fragile positioning. The Fear and Greed Index reads 15, deep in extreme-fear territory. The bullish case requires reclaiming $1.1864, while a loss of $1.1126 would confirm the downside scenario and deepen bear market pressure.