TradingShot Sees Bitcoin (BTC) Peaking at $180,000 by September 2029

A technical projection published on October 12 by the analyst TradingShot puts the next Bitcoin (BTC) cycle peak in the $160,000–$180,000 range in early September 2029, a band that sits roughly 116% above the level the market held when the work appeared. The Bitcoin price stood at $83,280 at the time of the analysis, down 3.31% over the previous 24 hours, which frames the call as a long-horizon scenario drawn from a weak tape rather than a momentum chase. TradingShot, a chart analyst active on TradingView, rests the projection on two pillars. The first is a long-term ascending trendline that has anchored every major Bitcoin peak since December 2017; each of the last two bull-market tops printed at or near that line, which is why a trendline touch in 2029 is treated as the natural place for the next one to form. The second is timing: the tops of the last two cycles were separated by roughly 1,430 days, and if that spacing repeats, price would return to the trendline in the second half of 2029. On his reading, the peaks were not random blow-offs but scheduled encounters with rising support. TradingShot marks the $160,000–$180,000 band as a zone where investors may consider taking profit, not a confirmed ceiling. From the level the market held when the analysis appeared, reaching $160,000 requires about 92% of additional upside, while the top of the band implies roughly 116%. The work is explicit about its limits: past spacing between peaks says nothing about the path between them, and the scenario assumes further sideways trading and corrections before the market works toward the 2029 zone. The projection fixes a destination and a window; it does not promise a straight line.

The 1,430-Day Interval and Its Floor

The moving-average structure gives the projection its floor. Bitcoin (BTC) recently slid to around $58,000, close enough to the 70-month moving average, a line tracking the average price of the past five-plus years, that the analyst reads the touch as a cyclical event rather than noise. Price then rebounded to near $80,000 and back to the vicinity of the 50-week moving average, the benchmark many trend followers treat as the line between correction and recovery. TradingShot interprets that sequence as one step inside a longer cycle in which price will chop, correct and grind higher toward the 2029 profit-taking band, after which he expects a correction toward about $135,000. The $135,000 figure is a post-peak adjustment in his framework, not a separate bearish call. None of the short-term readings change the long-range arithmetic; they only test whether the clock behind it keeps running. The nearer-term picture is less tidy. The market has struggled to hold gains above $84,000, and the analysis names the outlook for US benchmark rates, the behavior of Treasury yields and overall demand for risk assets as the variables that will decide whether the recovery extends. Persistent selling pressure, or a failure to reclaim key resistance, would push the timeline for the $180,000 target later than projected. A second qualification concerns the size of the move rather than its timing. As Bitcoin's market capitalization grows and institutional participation widens, as when Jeonbuk Bank issued South Korea's first Bitcoin (BTC)-backed corporate loan, the explosive percentage returns of earlier bull markets become harder to repeat. Analysts who track successive cycles note that returns have compressed with each one, so the pattern behind the 1,430-day interval carries a built-in caveat: the destination may hold, but the multiplier may not.

What the Target Is Measured Against

For COINOTAG's desk the projection reads as a measuring stick, not a schedule. The 1,430-day interval sits just inside the roughly four-year span between one Bitcoin halving and the next, and halvings are written into Bitcoin's proof of work issuance. What decides whether the number is meaningful is the level it starts from: measured against $83,280, the $180,000 target is a 116% claim, and against the $58,000 low the same figure would be closer to 210%. Quoted from a peak, the same number would be nearly meaningless. Whether crypto whale distribution or broader retail rotation fills the sell zone, the destination matters less than the entry point. For investors who choose to HODL through the flat stretch, the honest underwriting range is the 92%–116% band the analyst computed, and our Bitcoin technical analysis page tracks whether the $84,000 area can be reclaimed to keep the 2029 window alive.