CZ Says Bitcoin (BTC) Could Overtake Gold in Next Bull Market With Gold 10x Larger

Binance co-founder CZ says Bitcoin (BTC) could pass gold’s market value next bull cycle, with gold ~10x larger and $1M BTC implying a $20.1T cap.

(09:41 AM UTC)
5 min read
AI SummaryAI
  • CZ said Bitcoin (BTC) could reach $1,000,000 in under 25 years at Bitcoin Asia 2026.
  • CZ estimated gold’s market value is roughly 10 times Bitcoin’s current size.
  • Bitcoin traded near $79,681, up more than 25% over the week.
  • A $1 million Bitcoin price implies a market cap of about $20.1 trillion.
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CZ’s “Bitcoin Century” Session in Hong Kong

Binance co-founder Changpeng Zhao (CZ) told the Bitcoin Asia 2026 conference in Hong Kong on August 27 that what Bitcoin is and how it works matters as much as any price target — and that Bitcoin (BTC) does not need 25 years to reach $1,000,000, with the asset also capable of overtaking gold’s market value within the next bull cycle. Speaking on the Nakamoto Stage in a session titled “The Bitcoin Century,” CZ named the $1 million mark as one milestone the next quarter-century would have to deliver for the era to deserve its billing, while explicitly declining to set a hard deadline for the target. He paired the price call with a heavier emphasis on utility, pointing to large-scale Bitcoin settlement actually clearing in production and to pensions, retirement funds, investment funds and reserve assets incorporating Bitcoin as the changes he considers decisive. On the gold comparison, he sized gold’s total market value at roughly 10 times Bitcoin’s current footprint, arguing that closing the gap is less a matter of price appreciation than of investors rethinking what qualifies as a reserve asset. He was candid about the friction: major economies have spent decades building mature valuation, custody, reserve and trading infrastructure around gold, so capital will not rotate into Bitcoin overnight. Still, he expects sovereign wealth funds’ reserve allocations to tilt toward digital assets over time — the shift our strategic Bitcoin reserve guide describes — with Bitcoin ultimately claiming more than 50% of strategic crypto allocations and the remainder spread across assets such as Ethereum and BNB. According to the conference agenda, the session was built around how Bitcoin as a strategic asset reshapes finance, geopolitics and the balance of economic power, alongside its adoption path and its intersection with AI. The backdrop sharpened the framing: Bitcoin broke above $80,000 on August 25, driven by a soft dollar and the debasement trade, with gold bid on the same macro impulse — a rally our Bitcoin market coverage has followed since.

The $20 Trillion Question

Market data at writing put Bitcoin near $79,681, up roughly 1.3% over 24 hours and more than 25% on the week, while gold traded above $4,600 per ounce. With roughly 20.08 million BTC in circulation, market capitalization stands near $1.61 trillion; at today’s supply, a $1 million Bitcoin would be worth about $20.1 trillion in aggregate, implying an advance of roughly 12.5x from current levels. The gold comparison CZ invoked actually has two benchmarks. The World Gold Council’s Gold Market Primer, published August 18, values all above-ground gold — about 220,000 tonnes at end-2025 — at roughly $31 trillion, and sizes the investable gold market, spanning bullion, coins, ETFs, OTC positions and derivatives, at more than $15 trillion. Matched against today’s supply, Bitcoin would need a price near $750,000 to equal the $15 trillion investable figure and roughly $1.54 million to match the full $31 trillion. The $15 trillion benchmark is not a like-for-like market cap because it folds in derivatives, so the parity math is illustrative rather than a forecast, and Bitcoin’s scarcity case still rests on the 21 million BTC supply cap. CZ also mapped where AI and crypto converge first: stablecoins. The convergence, he argued, “likely starts with stablecoins,” since once markets accept them, folding Bitcoin into everyday applications becomes straightforward. In his view, AI-assisted trading will arrive before AI-driven payments, because traders must compress news, charts and market chatter into real-time decisions while consumers already pay fine with cards; he estimated AI tools could lift trading efficiency by roughly 10x. The trillion-dollar demand question is not theoretical: our desk logged a ninth straight day of inflows worth $242.24 million into US spot Bitcoin funds, and regulated ETF exposure remains the main route institutions use to build positions. That institutional plumbing, alongside the wider altcoin complex CZ expects to share residual reserve allocations, is where a $20 trillion market would have to find its marginal buyer. Readers tracking the market in real time can follow live spot and futures prices on Bitget.

Reserve Status Over Price Targets

COINOTAG’s reading: the headline numbers matter less than the mechanism behind them. The official Bitcoin Asia 2026 session recording shows CZ anchoring the gold-flip scenario in reserve adoption — sovereign pools reallocating, settlement rails maturing — rather than in momentum, a distinction our guide to the digital-gold thesis traces back to Bitcoin’s earliest design debates. A $20 trillion Bitcoin cannot be carried by retail flows alone, and his own 10x-larger framing of gold concedes how much institutional plumbing still needs rebuilding. With the asset up 25% on the week in a debasement-driven rally that our desk connected to Treasury buyback dynamics, the next test is whether reserve-style demand surfaces in custody and sovereign disclosures — not just in price.

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