Ethereum (ETH) Finds Buyers at $2,337 as Elliott Double Three Completes

Ethereum (ETH) found buyers at $2,337 as an Elliott Wave Double Three completed, with Fed rate-hold hints fueling a short squeeze and $33.5B open interest.

(10:46 AM UTC)
4 min read
AI SummaryAI
  • Ethereum found buyers in the $2,337–$2,375 Elliott Wave Equal Legs zone
  • ETH open interest rose $1.2B to $33.5B, the highest since May 16
  • Fed Governor Christopher Waller signaled support for holding rates at the September 16 FOMC
  • COINOTAG's composite engine rates the $2,538.70 ETH resistance at 92/100
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Elliott Double Three Marks the Low

Ethereum (ETH) looks to have printed a corrective low, with the chart structure now pointing to a completed Elliott Wave Double Three — a 3-3-3 pattern in which each leg of the (W)-(X)-(Y) sequence unfolds as its own internal A-B-C correction. Analysts tracking the pattern projected wave (w) from the end of wave (x) with Fibonacci extension tools, and the resulting Equal Legs buy zone landed at $2,337–$2,375. That is exactly where dip buyers stepped in: Ethereum found support in the zone and has since pushed back toward the mid-$2,500s, developing what chartists label the c-leg of the wave. One widely shared technical read posted September 2 on X argued the structure could still set up a wave 4 pullback, flagging a downside-imbalance target between $2,112 and $2,222 that buyers may front-run. Zooming out, ETH climbed from roughly $1,850–$1,900 in late August to above $2,550 before consolidating in a range many describe as a bullish flag under mounting selling pressure — and the structure held even as sellers pressed the ceiling repeatedly in early September. The pivot now sits at $2,500–$2,550: a decisive close above the band flips it from resistance to support and opens the flag's measured move toward $2,700, then $2,800–$3,000. On the downside, the $2,438 Fibonacci level is the bulls' line in the sand — losing it would invalidate the Double Three count and drag price toward the 200-day EMA near $2,161. ETH's tight 24-hour range of $2,490–$2,525, visible on any ETH/USD chart, signals consolidation rather than directional conviction, with the base case a sideways grind between $2,400 and $2,550 while the final corrective leg completes.

Waller Comments Ignite a Short Squeeze

The macro backdrop did the heavy lifting for the recovery. Ethereum jumped more than 4% on Thursday and pushed back above $2,500 after Federal Reserve Governor Christopher Waller said he would be prepared to support keeping the policy rate unchanged at the September 16 meeting if inflation continues to cool toward the Fed's 2% target. Speaking at a public Newsmaker event, Waller added that a hike remains on the table if incoming price data surprise to the upside — a notably softer tone than the one Chair Kevin Warsh struck in his first Jackson Hole speech as chair on August 28, when he argued underlying price momentum had not improved enough and left the door open to further tightening. Rate futures repriced fast: CME FedWatch data shows the probability of a hike at the September meeting falling to roughly 50.2%, down from about 65–68% on September 2 and near 58% immediately after Warsh's Jackson Hole remarks, while the dollar index slipped 0.6% to 98.99. Leverage then got flushed in the other direction. In the 24 hours after Waller's comments, about $523 million in crypto positions were liquidated, and roughly $470 million of that — close to 90% — were shorts, the largest short squeeze since August 21. ETH open interest climbed $1.2 billion to about $33.5 billion, the highest since May 16 and already above the August 22 record peak of $33.34 billion even with price still under last week's $2,567 high — a sign traders are positioning for further upside. Spot demand reinforced the move: US spot Ethereum ETF products took in $141.4 million net, led by BlackRock's ETHA at $72 million and Fidelity's FETH at $65 million, snapping a one-day outflow of $48.2 million that had ended a 12-session streak worth roughly $1.6 billion. The institutional bid echoes moves such as spot Ethereum trading for UAE clients, while Bitcoin approached $81,200 and the broader altcoin market lifted total crypto capitalization toward $2.7 trillion. Readers tracking the market in real time can follow live spot and futures prices on Bitget.

$2,539 Ceiling in Focus

COINOTAG's proprietary 42-indicator composite S/R scoring engine frames the immediate test at $2,538.70, a level it rates 92/100 on the confluence of Fibo 0.000, Donchian Upper, Swing High and R1 sources — sitting just above the live spot price of $2,526.84, up 5.64% over 24 hours. First support stands at $2,445.59, scored 72/100 via ATR Lower, Flip R→S and Fibo 0.114, with $2,180.77 (71/100, EMA 50 and Flip R→S) behind it. Positioning reads constructive: funding at 0.0064%, open interest near $10.15 billion and a 1.27 long/short ratio (56% long), while the Fear & Greed Index prints 74 — Greed — and RSI holds at 68.43 inside an uptrend, even as the daily MACD signal stays bearish. A decisive break above $2,538.70 opens the $2,855 objective; losing $2,445.59 invalidates the bullish thesis.

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