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Glassnode Maps Bitcoin (BTC) Bid Cluster at $81,000–$81,250

On-chain data maps Bitcoin (BTC) buy orders at $81,000–$81,250 after a retreat from the $86,500 wall, with $81,119 the daily-close level analysts watch.

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October 8, 2026, 08:43 PM UTC4 min read
AI SummaryAI
  • A liquidation cluster spans $81,700–$83,300, with the Bitcoin quote inside it.
  • US trading sessions flipped to net sellers, with net gains now coming outside US hours.
  • Seven-day average spot and ETF volume stands at $6.8 billion, below most days since January 2024.
  • Analyst Kazim Karabacak marks $81,119 as the Fibonacci threshold for daily closes.
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$81,798 Between Two Order Walls

Bitcoin (BTC) price stands at $81,798, boxed in between a bid cluster at $81,000–$81,250 below and a supply wall at $86,500–$86,750 above. On-chain data from Glassnode, an analytics firm whose datasets are compiled from blockchain node records, mapped both edges after the coin pushed above $85,000, met the wall and turned back. The retreat stopped just short of the lower band. From the 18:40 UTC reading on Thursday, the quote has edged up 0.3%, leaving it 1.9% lower across the past 24 hours. Market value sits near $1.64 trillion. Analysts read the structure as price compressed between an upper supply zone and a lower demand area, with neither edge broken yet.

The two bands now set the map. The upper wall formed at $86,500–$86,750, the range where selling pressure thickened enough to stop an advance that had cleared $85,000. Below, the densest cluster of buy orders on the Binance spot book has shifted into $81,000–$81,250. Glassnode flags that zone as the primary reference point should the retreat continue; it is where spot buyers are stacked, not where they promise to stay. The firm is explicit about the limit of such support: large limit orders can be cancelled or filled as conditions change, so the bid wall alone guarantees no defense. The zone is where the day's fight sits, and where a break would be read first.

A third feature fills the middle. A liquidation cluster spans $81,700–$83,300, an area where leveraged positions bunch and price moves can sharpen on the way through. The current quote sits inside it. The cluster's width, $1,600, is itself a measure of how crowded the middle of the range has become. Any dip toward the bid cluster has to clear that friction first. The edges, not the middle, set the terms of the session.

US Sessions Turn Net Seller

The session split matters as much as the levels. From July through the break above $85,000, Glassnode's account shows the weight of the rally built during US trading hours. That pattern has inverted. US sessions have moved into a net seller position, and the remaining net advance now arrives from outside US hours. Contribution from US time has weakened; price performance is being carried in other sessions. The split is measurable, and it has been published as a reversal of a pattern that held for months.

The timing is not incidental, and it reaches across the wider Bitcoin market. US spot ETF flows and the broader American market trade on roughly the same clock, so a seller-heavy US session reaches the largest vehicles at once. Concentration raises the stakes: IBIT holds 62% of the stash, and one fund's book can set the tone for a session. Volume, meanwhile, is thin. The seven-day average across Bitcoin (BTC) spot exchanges and US spot ETFs stands at $6.8 billion, below most days since January 2024. Our earlier session note, Bitcoin slips under $83,500, recorded the same compression one rung higher.

Two analysts frame the technical stakes. Kazim Karabacak, publishing on TradingView, treats $81,119 as the threshold inside the Fibonacci retracement structure: daily closes above it preserve the recovery, and losing it strengthens the case for a wider pullback zone near $61,776, a scenario rather than a target. On the weekly chart, VincePrince reads a possible double bottom, with price holding above the 50- and 100-period exponential averages and a rising trendline underneath; completion would put a target above $100,000 in play, though the setup is unconfirmed. Above the tape, Glassnode places the largest liquidation cluster at $87,100–$95,900, heaviest near $92,000. Both reads converge on the same condition: the $81,119 level holds, or the wider targets lose their footing.

$949 to the Floor, $2,291 to the Ceiling

Our composite scoring prices the same map in harder numbers. The strongest support sits at $80,849, scored 93 out of 100; the nearest resistance above is $84,089, scored 80 out of 100. The quote at $81,798 is $949 above the floor and $2,291 beneath the ceiling. Positioning leans long: the long/short account ratio reads 2.02, with 66.9% of accounts long, a crowd more inclined to hodl through the range than to chase the ceiling. Perp funding runs at 0.0056%, a rate at which neither side pays much to hold. A daily close under $80,849 would redraw the picture. The full ladder sits on our Bitcoin technical analysis page. For now, the distance that matters is under $1,000: that is how far the tape sits from its strongest floor.

Readers tracking the market in real time can follow live spot and futures prices on Bybit.

COINOTAG's editorial and research desk.

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