If the US CLARITY Act is Delayed, 2026 Odds Are Low

The US CLARITY Act aims to bring more regulatory clarity to the crypto sector, but if it doesn't pass committee by the end of April, its chances of approval this year look quite low. Galaxy Digital Research Head Alex Thorn stated in an X post that if the bill doesn't pass committee by the end of April, the likelihood of passage in 2026 will be very low, and emphasized that it needs to reach the Senate floor in early May.

Source: Sandeep Nailwal

CLARITY Act Timeline and Senate Obstacles

Senate Majority Leader John Thune stated that they will not address the digital asset market structure bill before April, with priority given to the SAVE America Act. This situation risks the bill's passage in 2026. According to Thorn, missing the committee stage will lose momentum.

Stablecoin Rewards and Other Obstacles

The main obstacle to the bill is the debate over whether stablecoin rewards will disrupt the traditional banking system. Thorn says additional issues like DeFi, developer protections, and regulatory authorities could arise. Democratic Senator Angela Alsobrooks from the Senate Banking Committee stated that crypto and banking lobbies need to reach a compromise. US President Donald Trump criticized banks for delaying due to disagreements on stablecoin yields.

Expert Predictions: 2027 and Beyond

Investment Bank TD Cowen predicts that the bill may not pass until 2027 and could come into effect in 2029. This uncertainty increases clarity expectations in the sector while affecting projects like ALT detailed analysis.

Market Impact: ALT Technical Analysis (March 15, 2026)

Regulatory delays are pressuring ALT price: $0.01 (+0.67% 24s). RSI 44.14 (neutral), downtrend, Supertrend bearish, EMA 20: $0.0076. Supports:

• S1: $0.0074 (⭐ Strong, -1.33%, Pin Bar, BB Middle, SMA 20)
• S2: $0.0068 (⭐ Strong, -9.33%, Fibo, Donchian)

Resistances:

• R1: $0.0077 (⭐ Strong, +2.67%, Fibo, Prev High, BB Upper)
• R2: $0.0097 (Medium, +29.33%)

For ALT futures, check the details. Clarity delay may increase volatility, ALT spot analysis is recommended.