EGRAG CRYPTO Sees 66.7% Chance XRP (XRP) Extends August Rally Into September

Third-Best August in XRP History

XRP (XRP), Ripple's cross-border settlement asset, is closing August with its third-best monthly performance on record, and the historical pattern suggests the move could carry into September. Digital-asset analyst EGRAG CRYPTO, in his published monthly returns dataset, puts the token's August 2026 gain at +36.9% — behind only August 2021 (+58.9%) and August 2017 (+45.2%) in the all-time ranking. The average August return across XRP's entire trading history is just 2.6%, meaning this month's advance runs roughly fourteen times the long-term norm. The weakest August came in 2023, when the token shed 26.8%. Notably, this year's return also outperforms August showings from several earlier rally phases, underscoring how unusual the move is against both averages and prior bull-cycle months.

his published monthly returns datasethttps://x.com/egragcrypto/status/2093260480332656706?ref_src=twsrc%5Etfw

More consequential for September positioning is the conditional record: whenever XRP finished August higher, September also closed in positive territory 66.7% of the time, while after a down August, September extended the decline in 85.7% of recorded cases. September itself has produced some of the asset's largest monthly candles — 2018 and 2013 each returned +73.4%, 2016 added +56.2%, and September 2022 delivered +46.3%. One caveat applies. 2026 is an even-numbered year, and even years have historically shown mixed monthly patterns, though September has tended to rank among their relatively stronger months; in odd years, strength clusters in May, November and December. The analyst flags this year's run as an anomaly within that framework — an even-year August already up 36.9% breaks from the typical even-year script. If August closes green, the seasonal record tilts September toward continuation, but the dataset measures frequencies rather than guarantees. Readers tracking the token's seasonal record can follow our dedicated XRP market coverage.

DonAlt Points to Ethereum's Chart

Attention is not confined to XRP's own chart. DonAlt, the trader who built his reputation by calling XRP's more than 700% rally across 2024–2025, now argues that Ethereum (ETH) will set the tone for the broader altcoin market in the coming weeks. In a post on X, he described ETH's daily chart as “the cleanest chart in crypto right now,” noting that the second-largest cryptocurrency by market capitalization has entered a textbook consolidation immediately after breaking through a key resistance level. “How ETH trades is probably gonna be indicative of the rest of the market,” he wrote, adding that the current structure is “exactly what you'd like to see.”

The position has paid so far. DonAlt disclosed on Aug. 13 that he was buying ETH at $1,878, writing that he had “waited long enough.” Ethereum has since gained more than 30%, adding roughly $600 before entering its current consolidation range. Two levels frame the setup: $2,400 has become the main support, with price consolidating inside an accumulation band between $2,454 and $2,492, while medium-term resistance for buyers sits at $2,815.68. Longer term, he has outlined a $4,000 objective, though he said taking profit at $3,000 would be perfectly acceptable. For XRP holders the relevance is directional rather than direct. In his framework, whichever way Ethereum resolves its current compression, the rest of the altcoin market follows. A breakout above $2,815.68 would pull liquidity toward large-cap alternatives and likely accelerate flows into assets such as XRP, while a loss of $2,400 would probably cool risk appetite across the sector. Because his earlier XRP call gives the argument a wider audience than an average chart post, his published chart and the contract trading positioning built around these levels deserve monitoring as ETH's volatility contracts ahead of its next directional move. Readers tracking the market in real time can follow live spot and futures prices on MEXC.

his published charthttps://x.com/DonAlt/status/2093972436241023195?s=20

September Odds Meet Market Breadth

Read together, the two datasets describe a single theme: an unusually strong month meeting a constructive cross-market setup. EGRAG CRYPTO's monthly return table — the primary record behind the 66.7% September follow-through figure — shows XRP's +36.9% August ranked third all-time, while DonAlt's chart places Ethereum in compression above $2,400 that he explicitly ties to broader altcoin direction. Our reading is that the seasonal edge is real but probabilistic; confirmation should come from trading volume and market breadth rather than calendar statistics alone. With whales recently completing the largest six-month XRP whale outflow from Binance and record spot XRP ETF inflows landing earlier this month, the positioning backdrop already leans supportive.