XRP Nears $1.3856 Resistance After 7% Weekly Decline

Whale Outflow Spread Widens on Binance

XRP trades at $1.37, sitting between the $1.3370 support beneath it and the $1.3856 resistance above it, and the XRP price has added 0.4% since the morning reading. The token entered the day on the back foot: market data recorded a 6.91% loss over seven days to near $1.36 by 10:13 UTC, a 0.13% slide over 24 hours at that point, and a market capitalization of roughly $86.3 billion that keeps the asset fifth among digital assets, a rank built on its circulating supply. In the latest daily session it opened at $1.36480, briefly touched $1.38518 and then pulled back, leaving the 1.38–1.40 area as the immediate ceiling. The support and resistance map beneath that line runs from $1.35, through a buying zone at $1.30–$1.32, down to the $1.20–$1.25 band buyers would defend if $1.30 gave way. Above, a reclaim of $1.40 would open $1.45 and then the $1.50–$1.60 region that ended the September rally. Daily trading volume fell nearly 19.70% from the previous day, thinning liquidity around the test. The sharper story sits in exchange flows. CryptoQuant analyst Amr Taha reported that Binance's seven-day average whale-to-retail outflow spread rose from 53% on October 7 to 63.5% on October 13, a gain of 10.5 percentage points. Across all centralized exchanges combined, the same spread moved just 1.7 points, from 46% to 47.7%, so Binance's rise ran roughly 6.2 times faster in percentage-point terms. The gap between Binance and the combined market reached 15.8 points, close to the roughly 18-point difference recorded on August 3, after which XRP climbed from about $1.07 to $1.56, a gain near 46%. Taha stopped short of calling a repeat: the metric measures the relative dominance of large withdrawals, not their absolute volume, and transfers between exchanges, custody services and private wallets can produce similar readings.

Analysts Map $1.13 and $1.00 Scenarios

Momentum indicators tell the same cautious story. The daily Balance of Power stood at -0.07, a negative but near-neutral reading that coincided with the failure to recover $1.40, while the Awesome Oscillator printed -0.06068 with red histogram bars below the zero line. The oscillator had turned positive during September's push toward $1.60, and its return below zero marks how far that recovery faded. The chart has formed lower highs since the rebound from August lows near $1.00. Early in October the token traded closer to $1.45, and the latest decline has now pushed it beneath that earlier support region. Sentiment across large-cap altcoins split sharply: Santiment counted 0.92 bullish XRP comments for every bearish one across X, Reddit and Telegram, against 0.82 for Bitcoin and 2.05 for Ethereum, and tied the negative reading to the weekly decline, leveraged liquidations of the kind that produced a record $610 million long liquidation flush, and the repeated rejection near $1.40. The firm noted that social commentary alone does not confirm whether investors are actually buying, though bearish crowds can set up a contrarian recovery if conditions improve. Commentator CW read the moving average and MACD structure as an accumulation signal, a view that sits against the weak short-term momentum readings. Tracked funds add another layer, since XRP ETF investors face $230 million unrealized losses despite a 12-week inflow streak. Analyst EGRAG laid out two paths on the three-day chart: a bearish case targeting $1.13 and then $1.00 if the consolidation fails, and a recovery case that first aims at $2.10. His longer-term projection puts $17.60 in play only after a confirmed breakout above $3.68, and a separate reading of a multi-year symmetrical triangle offers $4.30 to $10.23 with extended levels at $15.93, $33 and $60, all conditional on a confirmed breakout. He framed these as scenarios, not prices. The record high stands at $3.65, leaving the current quote 62.55% below it.

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Our composite scoring places the nearest edges of the current band at $1.3856 resistance, scored 88/100, and $1.3370 support, the strongest level on the chart at 100/100. XRP printed $1.3701 at the time of writing, up 0.4% since the 10:13 UTC reading and 0.7% over 24 hours, which leaves the quote 1.1% beneath the resistance and 2.4% above the support. Positioning leans long in account terms even as the perp funding rate sits at -0.0028%, and the long/short account ratio of 3.36 shows 77.1% of accounts holding longs. An RSI at 41.66 and a sideways trend label complete the picture. XRP technical analysis for the day therefore reduces to measured distance: about 1.6 cents of room to the ceiling and 3.3 cents to the floor.