XRP Completes Death Cross Below the 200-Day EMA Near $1.37

Death Cross Completes Near $1.37

XRP sat between two marked lines on Sunday, $1.2766 underneath and $1.3536 overhead, and the picture beneath the XRP price turned one step heavier over the weekend. On October 25 the 50-day exponential moving average closed below the 200-day EMA, which rests near $1.37, completing a death cross that chart desks had flagged as due since October 21. A death cross forms when a short-term moving average drops beneath a long-term one, and it is read as evidence that mid-term selling pressure has gathered weight. It does not, on its own, start a new downleg. The token last changed hands near $1.29, up 0.7% over 24 hours but down roughly 15% across the past 30 days. The longer record reads worse: about 29% lost since the start of the year and roughly 48% over twelve months, with October's peak near $1.65 now far overhead. Recovery attempts around $1.40 have failed in recent sessions, and the token now trades beneath both major averages, a position that keeps the daily chart in a downtrend. As long as the 50-day line sits under the 200-day, mid-term strength has to be proven rather than assumed. Chart work published over the weekend names $1.25 as the first meaningful support. XRP approached that zone twice in recent weeks, and buyers stepped in on both occasions, though the order book beneath the market has carried thinner resting depth since August's rally faded. A daily close below $1.25 would put $1.20 and then $1.15 in play, with the $1.00 area behind them as a psychological and historical shelf. Overhead, the first obstacle sits at $1.33, where the 100-day EMA waits, and above it the $1.37 to $1.40 band holds the 50- and 200-day EMAs, the same cluster the cross was drawn against. That band, not the cross itself, is where the next trend decision will be made.

The composite support and resistance scoring on the desk places the strongest floor at $1.2766, where the 100-day and 200-day simple moving averages, the S1 pivot and the 0.618 Fibonacci meet; that level scored 100 out of 100. The heaviest ceiling sits at $1.3536, a 99/100 confluence of the 20-, 50-, 100- and 200-day EMAs. Momentum agrees with the cross: the RSI reads 38.57, the MACD signal is bearish and the trend is down. Positioning is the caveat. Perpetual funding runs at 0.0063%, and the long/short account ratio stands at 3.44, with 77.5% of accounts holding longs, a crowded side that raises liquidation risk if $1.2766 gives way.

RSI Near 40 and $7.2M in Liquidations

Two caveats belong beside the signal. The completed cross is drawn on exponential moving averages; simple moving averages can show a different picture on the same date, so not every technical platform will flag the formation at once. The indicator also runs on past prices and therefore lags, which is why completion does not guarantee further decline. Derivatives desks judge such formations against implied volatility in the options market rather than the moving averages themselves. Momentum is weak but not extreme: with the RSI in the high 30s, the market sits above the classic oversold line at 30 and still has room to fall before exhaustion. A reading above 30 does not promise a bounce either; momentum has to be weighed against price and volume. Volume has thinned since August's strong moves, a sign that participants are waiting for direction. Derivatives add the sharper risk. Roughly $7.2 million of leveraged XRP positions were liquidated in the 24 hours to Saturday, most of them longs. Across the wider XRP market, the long/short account ratio on major exchanges has run above 3; that ratio counts accounts, not capital, but a crowd of leveraged longs beneath a falling chart can amplify volatility if selling resumes. Earlier in the week, XRP tested $1.26 support after a failed rebound, and the same pressure carried into the weekend. The recovery path is explicit. Reclaiming $1.33 would be the first sign of short-term repair, and a strong daily close above $1.40 on real volume would put $1.50 and then the October peak near $1.65 back in view. Reversing the cross itself is a slower task: the 50-day EMA has to climb back above the 200-day. Nothing in XRP's tokenomics changed and no shift in DeFi activity on the XRP Ledger accompanies the signal; this is chart mechanics, not a change in fundamentals. Fuller XRP technical analysis tracks the same ladder level by level. From the latest quote of $1.2906, the nearest edge is the $1.2766 floor, about 1.1% below, while the $1.3536 ceiling sits some 4.9% above.